Serie A
São Paulo - Santos
10/02/2026, 11:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.3
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
12%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
São Paulo
Santos
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
43%
平局
31%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
57%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Santos form momentum: The away side arrives on a run of four consecutive victories (DWWWW), while São Paulo's attack has stalled
- São Paulo home fortress: Conceding just 0.56 goals per home match, the hosts possess an incredibly reliable defense at home
- Offensive presence: Santos averaged 5.4 shots on target recently and is scoring more frequently than its season average
风险因素
- The suspension of top scorer J. Calleri significantly weakens São Paulo's attacking threat
- Santos will miss injured Neymar as well as the suspended duo L. Peres Petroni and G. Silva Bontempo
- A low-scoring match is highly anticipated as the mathematical model estimates a mere 40% probability for Over 2.5 goals
概述
São Paulo (11th place, 36 points) host Santos (8th place, 38 points) at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Serie A match on October 3, 2026, 1:00 AM
A mid-table clash separated by only two points
近期状态
São Paulo with mixed results recently, securing three wins in their last five matches (LWWLW)
Santos is in excellent shape with four consecutive wins (DWWWW)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
São Paulo average 1.19 goals scored and 1.11 goals conceded per match
Outstanding home defense with only 0.56 goals conceded per home game
Santos are strong offensively, averaging 1.52 goals scored per game
Santos have conceded 40 goals in 27 games this season
历史交锋
Even record in the last three meetings with one win for each side and one draw
Goal difference is tied at 3:3 in these head-to-head duels
The last duel on February 4, 2026 ended in a 1:1 draw
关键球员
Luciano (8 goals, 2 assists), Artur (2 goals, 2 assists) and Marcos Antônio (1 goal, 2 assists)
Gabriel Barbosa (11 goals, 3 assists), Álvaro Barreal (5 goals, 1 assist) and Benjamín Rollheiser (4 goals, 2 assists)
门将
Rafael has keeping 6 clean sheets for São Paulo with a 6.76 average rating
Diógenes has a 6.62 rating this season for Santos
影响因素
Strong home advantage for São Paulo with only 10 goals conceded in 18 home matches
The Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo averages 2.2 total goals per game
The match is played on grass