Serie A
Corinthians - Athletico PR
07/30/2026, 10:30 PM
预期进球
0.9
1.8
0.9
0:0
18%1:1
15%0:1
14%1:0
13%0:2
7%xG 分解
Corinthians
Athletico PR
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
36%
客胜
33%
进球数
Over 1.5
55%
Under 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5
73%
Over 3.5
11%
Under 3.5
89%
双重机会
主胜或平局
67%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
64%
双方进球
是
37%
否
63%
关键因素
- Critical squad selection: Corinthians must play without key figures like Rodrigo Garro and Yuri Alberto, leaving them with only 33% of their usual starting lineup strength
- Form peak: Athletico PR are unbeaten in 5 matches and won each of their last 4 games
- Recent scoring trend: Corinthians are currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals)
风险因素
- Defensive away weakness: Athletico PR concede an average of 2.17 goals per away match
- Tight match prediction: The model projects a highly balanced match with a 30% home win, 36% draw, and 33% away win chance
概述
Corinthians host Athletico PR at the Arena Corinthians
Serie A match on July 30, 2026, 11:30 PM
Third-placed Athletico PR with 36 points challenge ninth-placed Corinthians with 28 points
近期状态
Corinthians show a form of LWWWD with 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
Athletico PR arrive with a form of DWWWW following 4 consecutive wins
Both teams are in stable shape heading into this fixture
统计数据
Corinthians average 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per match
The visitors from Curitiba are more clinical with an average of 1.4 goals per game
At home, Corinthians concede only 0.73 goals per match
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches, Corinthians recorded 2 home wins and 1 draw
The last meeting ended in a 1-0 win for Corinthians
Athletico PR have yet to win a match against today's hosts
关键球员
Zakaria Labyad has scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists this season
Matheuzinho has been strong defensively with a rising form trend and a 7.27 rating in recent matches
Kevin Viveros is the most dangerous attacker for Athletico PR with 12 goals this season
门将
Hugo Souza guards the goal for Corinthians with 8 clean sheets this season
Santos is in goal for Athletico PR and kept 6 clean sheets so far
Santos has been more consistent recently with a rating of 6.89 over the last 5 matches
影响因素
The match is played on grass
The Arena Corinthians historical matches show an average of 2.6 goals per game
Corinthians utilize home advantage well by conceding only 8 goals in 11 home matches