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Serie A

Mirassol - Remo

07/29/2026, 10:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Mirassol
1.2
Total xG
2.2
Remo
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

12%

0:1

9%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
MIRREM

Mirassol

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.14
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.03
Alesson替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
Willian Machado替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Carlos Eduardo替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Remo

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.06
Jajá替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
Vitor Bueno替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅89%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

32%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

68%

双方进球

是

45%

否

55%

关键因素
  • Home advantage vs Away struggles: Remo concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away match
  • Model prediction: The algorithm favors Mirassol with a calculated 42% home win probability
  • Tactical style: Both teams recently played counter-oriented football, averaging under 45% possession in their past matches
风险因素
  • Fatigue: Remo has had only 3 days of rest since their last match, one less day than Mirassol
  • Missing quality: Mirassol's squad is weakened by the absence of Alesson, Willian Machado, and Carlos Eduardo
概述

Mirassol host Remo at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Serie A match on July 30, 2026, 12:30 AM

Relegation battle between 19th-placed Mirassol (20 points) and 18th-placed Remo (21 points)

Crucial points are at stake for both sides to avoid the drop

近期状态

Mirassol form: LWLWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Last match was a 1-1 away draw against Vasco da Gama

Remo form: WLWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Coming off a solid 2-0 home win against Vitória

统计数据

Mirassol scores 1.11 goals and concedes 1.37 goals per game on average

Their home defense is tighter, conceding 1.00 goals per game

Remo averages 1.15 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per match

Remo struggles defensively away from home, conceding 2.33 goals on average

历史交锋

Only 1 head-to-head match recorded in history

The last direct clash on February 4, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw

关键球员

Igor Formiga stabilizes the defense and has scored 4 goals this season

Reinaldo contributed 2 assists and shows a rising form trend

Alef Manga is Remo's top offensive threat with 5 goals and 3 assists

门将

Thomazella starts for Mirassol, who have kept only 1 clean sheet this season

Marcelo Rangel plays in goal for Remo and has recorded 3 clean sheets this campaign

影响因素

Played on natural grass at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol's better defensive record at home could be a key factor

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