Serie A
Grêmio - São Paulo
08/08/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
10%0:1
10%2:1
8%xG 分解
Grêmio
São Paulo
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
32%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Defensive home advantage: Grêmio concedes only 0.8 goals on average at home, whereas São Paulo struggles defensively on the road
- Tactical ball control: São Paulo averaged 56% possession recently, yet generated only 3.8 shots on target per game
- Lineup adjustments: Grêmio lacks Francis Amuzu and Tetê in the starting eleven, while São Paulo starts without Artur
风险因素
- Away vulnerability: São Paulo concedes an average of 1.88 goals per away game this season
- Shared form crisis: Grêmio won just one of their last five matches, while São Paulo remains winless in their last five outings (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
概述
Grêmio (17th place, 22 points) host São Paulo (12th place, 26 points)
Serie A clash at the Arena do Grêmio
Kick-off on August 8, 2026, 9:00 PM
Both teams urgently need points to improve their positions
近期状态
Grêmio's current form is DWLLD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
Their last match ended in a 1-1 draw against Fluminense
São Paulo's current form is LDLLD (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
They recently played out a 1-1 draw against Flamengo
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Grêmio averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded per game this season
At home, Grêmio concedes an average of just 0.8 goals per match
São Paulo scores an average of 1.25 goals away but concedes 1.88 goals on the road
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio has 2 wins while São Paulo has 3 wins
The goal difference is 5:6 in favor of São Paulo
The last meeting on February 12, 2026, ended in a 2-0 victory for São Paulo
关键球员
Carlos Vinícius has scored 10 goals in 19 appearances for Grêmio
Cristian Pavón has contributed 3 assists with an average rating of 7.2
Marlon holds a strong rating of 7.28 in 7 appearances
For São Paulo, Jonathan Calleri leads the attack with 7 goals and 1 assist
Luciano follows closely with 6 goals and a 7.05 rating
Robert Arboleda anchors the defense with a rating of 7.01
门将
Weverton played 18 matches for Grêmio, contributing to 5 clean sheets
Rafael made 20 appearances for São Paulo, keeping 4 clean sheets
影响因素
Grêmio benefits from a solid home defense, conceding only 0.8 goals per match
Arena do Grêmio averages 2.6 goals per game historically
São Paulo's away defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.88 goals