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Serie A

Palmeiras - Internacional

08/09/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Palmeiras
1.3
Total xG
2.2
Internacional
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

12%

2:0

9%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
PALINT

Palmeiras

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.70
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.15
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.15
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第17位, 相差16位)
+0.09
Gustavo Gómez 未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)

Internacional

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.24
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第1位, 相差16位)
-0.17
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.17
Alerrandro替补席 (3球, 3助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

32%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

68%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Strong form of Palmeiras: The home side secured 4 wins in their last 5 matches (Form: WWWLW)
  • Offensive dominance: Palmeiras is scoring more frequently (2.4) than their season average (1.9) and recently averaged 5.4 shots on target
  • Clear table gap: League leaders Palmeiras (47 points) face 17th-placed Internacional (22 points)
风险因素
  • Injuries for the home team: B. de Lara Fuchs (Appendicitis) and P. Sampaio Filho (Muscle Injury) are sidelined
  • Historical balance: In the last 5 direct duels, Internacional managed to secure one win and one draw
  • Resilience of the visitors: Despite poor form, Internacional recently averaged 3.0 shots on target and holds high xG potential
概述

Palmeiras (1st place, 47 points) host Internacional (17th place, 22 points)

Serie A match on August 9, 2026, 9:00 PM at Allianz Parque

The league leaders face a relegation-threatened opponent

近期状态

Palmeiras are in strong form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches (WWWLW)

Internacional are winless in their last 5 games (LLLLD)

The form trends clearly favor the home side

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Palmeiras score an average of 1.81 goals per game and concede 0.76

Internacional score an average of 1.1 goals and concede 1.29

Internacional concede an average of 1.67 goals in away matches

历史交锋

In the last 5 meetings, Palmeiras won 3 times, with 1 draw and 1 win for Internacional

The goal difference is 9:4 in favor of Palmeiras

The last direct duel ended in a 3:1 victory for Palmeiras

关键球员

Jhon Arias has scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists this season

Andreas Pereira has already recorded 10 assists

Johan Carbonero leads the visitors with 5 goals

Not nominated: Gustavo Gómez (3 goals) and Alerrandro (3 goals)

门将

Carlos Miguel has played 20 matches with 8 clean sheets

Matheus Cunha has made one appearance for Internacional

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Allianz Parque

Previous home matches averaged 1.8 goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 home matches

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