Serie A
Cruzeiro - Mirassol
08/09/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.5
0.9
1:1
13%1:0
12%2:0
11%0:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
28%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Severe squad depletion for visitors: Mirassol starts with only 54% of their usual lineup strength, missing key contributors Igor Formiga, Alesson, and Edson Carioca
- Tactical dominance: Cruzeiro recently controlled matches, averaging 58.6% possession and 4.8 shots on target per game
- Defensive contrast: Cruzeiro concede only 1.08 goals per game at home, whereas Mirassol concede an average of 2.00 away from home
风险因素
- Missing starting power for Cruzeiro: Key offensive threats Kaio Jorge and Gerson are missing from the home team's lineup
- Balanced head-to-head history: The last two direct encounters between these sides ended in draws
- Low scoring expected: The model forecasts a probability of only 46% for over 2.5 goals in this match
概述
Cruzeiro host Mirassol in Serie A
Match played at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Kick-off on August 9, 2026, at 4:00 PM
Cruzeiro sit 9th with 30 points, while Mirassol are 15th with 23 points
近期状态
Cruzeiro's recent form is WDWLW
The hosts recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss recently
Mirassol's recent form is WLWDW
The visitors registered 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Cruzeiro score 1.29 goals and concede 1.43 on average this season
At home, they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game
Mirassol average 1.15 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded
Away from home, Mirassol concede 2.00 goals per game on average
历史交锋
There have been 3 head-to-head matches
Cruzeiro won 1 game, with 2 matches ending in a draw
The last meeting on February 11, 2026, ended in a 2:2 draw
The total goal difference is 5:4 in favor of Cruzeiro
关键球员
Matheus Pereira scored 5 goals and made 2 assists this season with a 7.47 rating
Keny Arroyo has 2 goals and 2 assists
Lucas Romero contributed 1 goal and 3 assists
Reinaldo provided 3 assists in 17 appearances with a 6.95 rating
João Victor recorded 1 goal and 1 assist
Denilson has 1 goal and 1 assist
门将
Otávio Costa has 8 appearances for the home side
Cruzeiro kept 5 clean sheets this season
Thomazella has played 1 match for the away side
Mirassol kept only 1 clean sheet overall this season
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Historically, this venue averages 2.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 60% of Cruzeiro's home matches
Cruzeiro's home advantage stands against Mirassol's weak away record of 2.00 goals conceded per game