Serie A
Coritiba - Chapecoense
08/08/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.4
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
11%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Coritiba
Chapecoense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
30%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Matchup advantage: Coritiba's home offense meets Chapecoense's fragile away defense which concedes an average of 2.83 goals per game
- Tactical edge: Coritiba averaged 4.0 shots on target in recent matches compared to Chapecoense's 3.0
- Model prediction: Mathematical analysis calculates a 48% probability for a Coritiba home win
风险因素
- Bruno Pacheco and Yannick Bolasie are missing for Chapecoense, leaving only 64% of their attacking potential available
- Goal drought: Coritiba's recent scoring rate is at 1.0 and Chapecoense's at only 0.6 goals per match, both below their seasonal averages
- Chapecoense has failed to keep a single clean sheet in their away matches this season
概述
Coritiba (11th place, 27 points) host Chapecoense (20th place, 10 points)
Serie A match on August 9, 2026, 1:30 AM
Clear favorite role for the home team against the league's bottom side
近期状态
Coritiba shows mixed form with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their recent matches (WLLDL)
Chapecoense is winless in 5 matches with 1 draw and 4 losses (LLLLD)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Coritiba averages 1.19 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded per game this season
Chapecoense struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2.05 goals per match
Away from home, Chapecoense concedes an extremely high average of 2.83 goals
历史交锋
There has been only 1 head-to-head match between these teams
Their last meeting on February 11, 2026, ended in a high-scoring 3-3 draw
The historical record is completely balanced
关键球员
Breno Lopes is Coritiba's top threat with 8 goals this season
Josué dominates the midfield having already provided 8 assists
Marcinho has scored 2 goals for Chapecoense so far
门将
Pedro Morisco has made 5 appearances for Coritiba, contributing to the team's 6 clean sheets this season
Anderson has only kept 1 clean sheet in 6 matches for Chapecoense
Both goalkeepers will be tested in this encounter
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
This venue is known for high-scoring games with an average of 3.2 goals per match
Coritiba had 8 days of rest while Chapecoense had 14 days of recovery time