Serie A
Santos - Athletico PR
08/09/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.0
1.0
0:0
16%1:1
15%0:1
12%1:0
12%0:2
7%xG 分解
Santos
Athletico PR
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
31%
平局
35%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
61%
Under 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
14%
Under 3.5
86%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
69%
非平局
65%
双方进球
是
41%
否
59%
关键因素
- Form disparity: Athletico PR is unbeaten in 5 games (4 wins, 1 draw) while Santos suffered 3 defeats in the same span
- Missing key players: Santos will play without Benjamín Rollheiser and Miguelito, while the visitors lack Lucas Esquivel
- Shooting efficiency: Santos averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Athletico PR's average of 3.8
风险因素
- Defensive issues on the road: Athletico PR concedes an average of 1.86 goals per away match
- Defensive crisis for Santos: The team concedes an average of 1.65 goals per game and has multiple injured defenders
- Low scoring expectations: The mathematical model predicts a tight match with only a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals
概述
Santos host Athletico PR at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Serie A match on August 9, 2026, 9:30 PM
Santos is in 16th place with 22 points fighting relegation
Athletico PR visits as 3rd in the standings with 37 points
近期状态
Santos form: LLWLD
The home team has 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 games
Athletico PR form: WWWWD
The visitors are unbeaten with 4 wins and 1 draw recently
统计数据
Santos scores 1.45 goals and concedes 1.65 goals per game on average
At home, their defense improves to an average of 1.17 goals conceded
Athletico PR scores 1.33 goals per match and concedes only 0.9 goals
However, the visitors concede an average of 1.86 goals in away games
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between the teams
This last direct duel ended in a 2-1 win for the away side
There are no other recorded matches in this period
关键球员
Gabriel Barbosa is Santos' top threat with 7 goals this season
Álvaro Barreal has contributed 4 goals and 1 assist so far
Visitor Kevin Viveros leads Athletico PR with 12 goals this season
Leozinho scored 3 goals in his last 5 matches
Gastón Benavídez has already provided 5 assists this season
门将
Gabriel Brazão has made 18 appearances for Santos this season
For the visitors, Mycael is set for his first appearance of the season
Santos has kept 4 clean sheets so far
Athletico PR has recorded 7 clean sheets in the current campaign
影响因素
Estádio Urbano Caldeira averages 3.2 total goals per match
Santos has scored an average of 1.42 goals per home game
Athletico PR must adapt to their away struggles on the grass pitch
On the road, the visitors concede an average of 1.86 goals per game