Serie A
Botafogo - Fluminense
08/09/2026, 12:00 AM
预期进球
1.1
2.0
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
15%1:0
13%0:1
11%2:0
8%xG 分解
Botafogo
Fluminense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
34%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
61%
Under 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
14%
Under 3.5
86%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
66%
双方进球
是
42%
否
58%
关键因素
- Fluminense is missing key attacking threat as Luciano Acosta (3 goals, 4 assists) and Guga are not in the squad
- Botafogo averaged a counter-oriented style with 5.8 shots on target per match despite having only 44% possession recently
- Fluminense has shown away-day defensive struggles, conceding an average of 1.75 goals per away game
风险因素
- Reduced offensive potential for Fluminense, with only 56% of the usual starting goal threat active due to Luciano Acosta's absence
- Botafogo's recent scoring has slowed down, averaging 1.25 goals compared to their season average of 1.79
- Mathematical models predict a low probability of only 33% for over 2.5 goals
概述
Botafogo (8th place, 29 points) host Fluminense (4th place, 34 points) at the Estádio Nilton Santos
Serie A match on August 9, 2026, 2:00 AM
A crucial battle for the top positions
近期状态
Botafogo shows a form of DLWDW with 2 wins and 2 draws
Fluminense recently recorded 4 draws with a form of LDDDD
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Botafogo averages 1.79 goals scored and 1.68 goals conceded per match
Fluminense scores an average of 1.5 goals away but concedes 1.75 goals
Botafogo has scored 17 goals in 10 home matches
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, there were 3 wins for the home team and 2 for the away team
The last encounter ended in a 0-1 victory for the away side
关键球员
Danilo has scored 7 goals and provided 2 assists this season
Arthur Cabral has scored 7 goals this season, including 3 in his last 5 games
Alex Telles contributed 2 goals and 3 assists in 18 appearances
Rodrigo Castillo has recorded 3 goals and 1 assist so far
Nonato has scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist
Renê has provided 2 assists this season
门将
Warleson has played 2 matches this season with an average rating of 7.53
Fábio has played 21 matches and recorded 4 clean sheets
The goalkeeper comparison highlights different levels of playing time this season
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio Nilton Santos
An average of 2.8 goals per game were scored in the previous 5 home matches
Both teams scored in 80% of the matches at this venue