Serie A
Flamengo - Vitória
08/09/2026, 10:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.4
0.7
1:0
14%1:1
13%2:0
12%0:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Flamengo
Vitória
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
57%
平局
27%
客胜
15%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
85%
客胜或平局
43%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Weakened opponent: Vitória is heavily depleted, with only 66% of their usual starting lineup strength available
- Fragile away defense: Vitória concedes a devastating average of 3.43 goals per away match
- Home offensive power: Flamengo scores a reliable average of 1.89 goals per home game
风险因素
- Slight drop in Flamengo's form: Their last two consecutive matches ended in a draw
- Struggling offense for Vitória: The visitors' goal production has recently dropped to an average of 0.5 goals per game
概述
Flamengo (2nd place, 39 points) host Vitória (13th place, 26 points)
Serie A match on August 9, 2026, 11:30 PM
Flamengo aim to keep pressure on league leaders Palmeiras
近期状态
Flamengo's form string is LWWDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recently recorded two consecutive draws
Vitória enter with a form of LWDLL
The visitors managed only one win in their last 5 matches
统计数据
Flamengo average 1.85 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded per game
Vitória concede a devastating average of 3.43 goals per away match
At home, Flamengo score an average of 1.89 goals per game
历史交锋
Historical dominance for the home side in the last 5 meetings
Flamengo secured 3 wins and remained unbeaten in these duels
The last match ended in a 2-1 victory for Flamengo
Overall goal difference stands at 15:5 in favor of Flamengo
关键球员
Pedro leads Flamengo with 12 goals and 4 assists this season
Samuel Lino has contributed 5 goals and 7 assists so far
Renê is Vitória's top threat with 5 goals scored
门将
Agustín Rossi is in goal for Flamengo with 8 clean sheets this season
Lucas Arcanjo starts for Vitória and also has 8 clean sheets
Rossi kept 4 of his clean sheets in home matches
影响因素
Home advantage for Flamengo at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
The venue averages 3.0 goals per game in historical data
Both teams scored in 80% of matches played at this stadium