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Serie A

Vasco da Gama - Santos

08/16/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 3
预期进球
Vasco da Gama
1.8
Total xG
3.2
Santos
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
VDGSAN

Vasco da Gama

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
+0.51
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.28
状态下滑 (0.2 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.27
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.07
José Luis Rodríguez替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Cuiabano未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
Cauan Barros替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
19%进球产出缺失 (仅74%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.9球 vs 总体1.2球)

Santos

小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.25
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04
Miguelito替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Gabriel Bontempo未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.4球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

26%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

62%

Under 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

74%

双方进球

是

64%

否

36%

关键因素
  • Santos scored more goals recently (1.6) compared to their season average (1.5)
  • Santos averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • Vasco da Gama dominated the historical head-to-head record at home with 2 wins out of 3 matches
风险因素
  • Santos concedes an average of 2.11 goals in away matches
  • Vasco da Gama's goal production has stalled recently at 0.3 goals compared to their season average of 1.2
概述

Vasco da Gama (18th place, 22 points) host Santos (17th place, 22 points) at the Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Serie A match on August 16, 2026, 8:00 PM

A crucial relegation battle

近期状态

Vasco da Gama is winless in 5 games with a form of LLLDD

They recently registered two consecutive draws

Santos has a form of LWLDL

Their last match ended in a loss against Athletico PR

统计数据

Vasco da Gama scores an average of 1.1 goals and concedes 1.48 goals per game

Both teams scored in 14 out of 21 matches

Santos scores an average of 1.38 goals and concedes 1.67 goals

Santos concedes an average of 2.11 goals in away games

历史交锋

There have been 3 head-to-head matches in recent years

Vasco da Gama won 2 matches, while Santos won 1

The last encounter ended 2-1 in favor of Santos

Goal difference of 9-3 for Vasco da Gama

关键球员

Andrés Gómez has 4 goals and 2 assists this season

Thiago Mendes contributed 3 goals and 1 assist so far

Facundo Colidio recently scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist in 5 games

Gabriel Barbosa leads with 7 goals and 2 assists

Neymar scored 6 goals and provided 2 assists in 9 appearances

Álvaro Barreal contributed 4 goals and 1 assist

门将

Léo Jardim has made 21 appearances this season with 2 clean sheets

Gabriel Brazão has played 19 matches and recorded 4 clean sheets

影响因素

Home game for Vasco da Gama at the Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama on grass

In the 5 home matches played so far, there was an average of 2.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 of these matches

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