Serie A
Fluminense - Palmeiras
08/15/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.3
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
11%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Fluminense
Palmeiras
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
32%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Defensive strength: Palmeiras concede an average of only 0.73 goals per game this season
- Stalling attack: Fluminense averaged only 1.0 goals in recent matches compared to their season average of 1.48
- Balanced target threat: Both teams averaged exactly 4.8 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
- Fluminense is missing Luciano Acosta and Kevin Serna, leaving only 72% of their goal threat available
- Draw proneness: Fluminense have recorded five consecutive draws recently (DDDDD)
概述
Fluminense host Palmeiras
Serie A match on August 15, 2026, 7:30 PM at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
League leaders Palmeiras (48 points) travel to 4th-placed Fluminense (35 points)
The mathematical model estimates a home win probability of 40%
A crucial clash at the top of the table
近期状态
Fluminense's recent form is DDDDD
Five consecutive draws for the home side
Palmeiras show a form string of WWLWD
The visitors recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Fluminense score an average of 1.41 goals and concede 1.18 per game
Palmeiras average 1.73 goals scored and only 0.73 goals conceded
Both teams scored in 16 of Fluminense's 22 matches
Palmeiras kept a clean sheet in 9 games this season
历史交锋
There have been 5 head-to-head matches between the teams
An even record with 2 wins each and 1 draw
The last match ended 2-1 in favor of Palmeiras on February 26, 2026
A balanced goal difference of 4-4 in direct duels
关键球员
Fluminense rely on Hulk (1 goal, 7.11 rating), Agustín Canobbio (4 goals, 2 assists, 7.01 rating), and goalkeeper Fábio (6.92 rating)
Palmeiras feature Andreas Pereira (1 goal, 10 assists, 7.28 rating), Jhon Arias (4 goals, 2 assists, 7.16 rating), and José Manuel López (6 goals, 3 assists, 7.03 rating)
Not nominated are Luciano Acosta and Kevin Serna
门将
Fluminense goalkeeper Fábio has kept 4 clean sheets this season
Carlos Miguel for Palmeiras has kept 9 clean sheets with a season rating of 7.04
影响因素
Fluminense are solid at home, averaging 1.38 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded
The Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho averages 1.8 goals per match
No weather data is available in the provided dataset