Serie A
Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio
08/16/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.2
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
13%1:0
13%2:0
9%0:1
9%xG 分解
Atlético Mineiro
Grêmio
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
43%
平局
32%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
57%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Tactical advantage: Grêmio recently averaged 4.4 shots on target in past matches compared to Atlético Mineiro's 3.2
- Offensive form: Grêmio are currently scoring more frequently recently (1.6 goals per game) compared to their season average (1.3)
- Home vs Away: Atlético Mineiro remain structured at home, whereas Grêmio struggle heavily on the road with an average of 2.8 goals conceded
风险因素
- Away vulnerability: Grêmio concede an average of 2.8 goals per away match
- Squad impact: Atlético Mineiro lack regular starters Bernard, Maycon, and Natanael, reducing their available assists share by 26%
- Limited data regarding weather conditions
概述
Atlético Mineiro host Grêmio at the Arena MRV
Serie A match on August 16, 2026, 9:00 PM
Atlético Mineiro sit in 11th place with 29 points
Grêmio currently occupy 14th place with 25 points
Both teams aim to climb into the top half of the standings
近期状态
Atlético Mineiro show a stable run of form with LWDWD
The hosts secured 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
Grêmio display a positive trend with the form WLLDW
The visitors won their last match against São Paulo
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Atlético Mineiro score 1.29 goals per game and concede 1.29
Grêmio suffer defensively away from home, conceding avg. 2.8 goals
The home side scored average 1.27 goals per home match
Grêmio average 1.2 goals per away game
历史交锋
Grêmio have been dominant in recent direct encounters
Out of 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 3 and Atlético Mineiro won 2
The last duel ended 2-1 in favor of Grêmio on February 26, 2026
Overall goal difference in these matches is 8-10
关键球员
Victor Hugo leads the midfield for the hosts with 4 goals and 1 assist
Mateo Cassierra has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 17 appearances
Carlos Vinícius is Grêmio's main threat with 10 goals this season
门将
Everson played all 21 games for the hosts and achieved 4 clean sheets
Weverton has kept 5 clean sheets in 19 appearances for Grêmio
Both keepers hold steady season ratings of 6.93 (Everson) and 6.98 (Weverton)
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Arena MRV
Historically, matches at this venue average 3.0 goals
Both teams scored in 80% of those games
No weather data available for this fixture