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Serie A

São Paulo - Coritiba

08/16/2026, 12:00 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
São Paulo
1.5
Total xG
2.5
Coritiba
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
SPCOR

São Paulo

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.13
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.08
Ferreirinha替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
Artur替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Danielzinho替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
19%进球产出缺失 (仅83%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.2球)

Coritiba

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.21
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.16
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.10
Josué未进大名单 (1球, 9助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

29%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

71%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Strong home defense: São Paulo concede an average of only 0.67 goals at home
  • Key player missing: Coritiba are without Josué (1 goal, 9 assists), leaving only 45% of season assists available
  • Tactical dominance: São Paulo controlled recent matches with an average of 56.4% possession
风险因素
  • Form crisis for São Paulo: The home side is winless in their last 5 matches (DLLDL)
  • Scoring slump: São Paulo's goal production has dropped to an average of 0.8 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.24
  • Loss of creativity: São Paulo are missing Ferreirinha and Artur, leaving only 83% of active goals available
概述

São Paulo host Coritiba at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Serie A match on August 16, 2026, 1:00 AM

A crucial mid-table clash for both teams

The home side enters this match as slight favorites

近期状态

São Paulo are going through a difficult period, remaining winless in their last 5 games

São Paulo form string across all competitions: DLLDL (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)

Coritiba managed to secure a victory in their most recent fixture

Coritiba form string: LLDLW (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)

统计数据

São Paulo average 1.24 goals scored and 1.19 goals conceded this season

Their home defense is extremely solid, conceding only 0.67 goals per match

Coritiba score 1.23 goals on average while conceding 1.32 per game

On the road, Coritiba's defense is more vulnerable, conceding 1.45 goals per match

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between the sides in recent years

The last meeting ended in a 1-0 scoreline

This encounter took place on February 25, 2026

关键球员

Luciano has already scored 6 goals and provided 2 assists for São Paulo

Jonathan Calleri is a key offensive threat with 7 goals this season

Marcos Antônio has been solid in midfield with a 6.99 average rating

For Coritiba, Breno Lopes stands out with 8 goals scored

Joaquín Lavega has contributed 5 goals and 2 assists this season

Pedro Rocha has recorded 5 goals and 1 assist so far

门将

Rafael starts in goal for São Paulo with a 6.77 rating and 4 clean sheets this season

Pedro Morisco guards Coritiba's net, holding a 7.09 rating and 6 clean sheets overall

影响因素

The match takes place on grass at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Games at this stadium average 3.0 goals per match this season

São Paulo benefit from home advantage, conceding just 8 goals in 12 home matches

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