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Serie A

Mirassol - Flamengo

08/16/2026, 09:30 PM

1 : 5
预期进球
Mirassol
0.9
Total xG
2.3
Flamengo
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

12%

0:0

12%

0:2

10%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
MIRFLA

Mirassol

排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第2位, 相差13位)
-0.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.02

Flamengo

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.43倍)
+0.27
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.25
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.10
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第15位, 相差13位)
+0.09
Samuel Lino替补席 (5球, 7助攻)
Bruno Henrique 未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
Jorginho替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.9球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

23%

平局

31%

客胜

46%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

54%

客胜或平局

77%

非平局

69%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Flamengo's offensive power: The team currently scores more frequently (2.2 goals per game) than their season average (1.9)
  • Tactical superiority: Flamengo controlled recent matches averaging 63% possession and 6.4 shots on target
  • Form gap: While Flamengo is undefeated in 5 games (WWDDW), Mirassol lost 2 of their last 5 fixtures (LWDWL)
风险因素
  • Limited data availability on duel statistics for both teams
  • Mirassol averaged only 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • Absence of D. De La Cruz Arcosa weakens Flamengo's midfield
概述

Mirassol (15th place, 23 points) host Flamengo (2nd place, 42 points) at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Serie A match on August 16, 2026, 11:30 PM

Flamengo enters the match as favorites in the title race

近期状态

Mirassol shows an inconsistent form of LWDWL

Flamengo is unbeaten in their last 5 games with a form of WWDDW

Mirassol recently lost 1-3 to Cruzeiro, while Flamengo secured a 2-0 win against Vitória

Form codes: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Mirassol scored 24 goals this season (avg 1.14 per game) and conceded 30 (avg 1.43)

Flamengo is highly stable defensively with only 18 goals conceded (avg 0.86) and 39 scored (avg 1.86)

At home, Mirassol concedes exactly 1.00 goal per game on average

Flamengo scored 20 goals in 11 away matches (avg 1.82)

历史交锋

There have been 2 head-to-head matches between the teams

Flamengo has 1 win, while 1 match ended in a draw

The last meeting on December 6, 2025, ended in a high-scoring 3-3 draw

关键球员

Igor Formiga stands out in Mirassol's defense with 4 goals this season and a 7.02 average rating

Reinaldo contributes 1 goal and 3 assists in defense (rating 6.92)

João Victor solidifies Mirassol's defense with a rating of 6.95

Top scorer Pedro leads Flamengo with 12 goals and 4 assists (average rating of 7.35)

Léo Pereira excels in Flamengo's defense with 2 goals and an rating of 7.21

Erick Pulgar contributes 2 goals in Flamengo's midfield (rating 6.92)

Not selected for Flamengo: Samuel Lino (5G/7A), Bruno Henrique (1G/3A), Jorginho (2G/1A)

门将

Walter played 19 games for Mirassol, keeping 1 clean sheet

Agustín Rossi played 21 matches for Flamengo, securing 9 clean sheets

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

In this stadium, matches averaged 2.4 goals per game over the last 5 fixtures

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