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Serie A

Vitória - Botafogo

08/16/2026, 09:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Vitória
1.1
Total xG
2.0
Botafogo
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

1:0

12%

0:1

11%

2:0

7%
xG 分解
VITBOT

Vitória

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.64倍)
-0.63
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.27
状态下滑 (0.2 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.26
Baralhas 替补席 (2球, 3助攻)

Botafogo

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.23
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.21
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.15
Vitinho未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Lucas Villalba替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.8球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

34%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

66%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • Botafogo averaged 6.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Vitória's goal production has stalled recently with 0.3 goals per game compared to a season average of 1.1
  • Extreme historic draw tendency with five consecutive draws in the last five head-to-head matches
风险因素
  • Vitória averaged only 3.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • Botafogo concedes an average of 1.9 goals per away game
  • Baralhas (2 goals, 3 assists) is missing from Vitória's squad
概述

Vitória host Botafogo at Estádio Manoel Barradas

Brazilian Serie A match on August 16, 2026, 6:30 PM

Mid-table clash between the 13th and 10th-placed teams

Vitória with 26 points aim to close the gap on Botafogo with 30 points

近期状态

Vitória are struggling with three consecutive defeats

Form curve for the hosts is WDLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Botafogo stabilized recently with a LWDWD record

The visitors secured two wins and two draws in their last five matches

统计数据

Vitória average 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game this season

Extreme home-away discrepancy for Vitória with only 0.47 goals conceded per home game

Botafogo are stronger offensively, averaging 1.67 goals per match

The visitors concede an average of 1.9 goals per away game

历史交锋

Extremly balanced historical record between both teams

All of the last 5 head-to-head matches ended in a draw

The last encounter on July 23, 2026, finished in a 0:0 draw

Even goal difference of 2:2 across these five matches

关键球员

Renê is Vitória's top scorer with 5 goals this season

Erick contributed 2 goals and 4 assists in 20 appearances

Diego Tarzia has recorded 2 goals and 2 assists

Danilo is a key player for Botafogo with 7 goals this season

Arthur Cabral has also scored 7 goals so far

Alex Telles shines in defense with 3 goals and 3 assists

门将

Lucas Arcanjo starts in goal for Vitória with a season rating of 7.00

Vitória have recorded 8 clean sheets so far this season

Warleson guards the goal for Botafogo with an average rating of 7.29

The visitors have managed 3 clean sheets this campaign

影响因素

Strong home advantage at Estádio Manoel Barradas, conceding only 7 goals in 15 home matches

Vitória earned 7 of their total 8 clean sheets on home soil

Historically low-scoring matches at this venue, averaging 2.4 goals per game

The stadium surface is natural grass

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