Serie A
Corinthians - Cruzeiro
08/16/2026, 10:30 PM
预期进球
1.0
1.9
0.9
0:0
16%1:1
15%1:0
13%0:1
12%2:0
7%xG 分解
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
35%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
59%
Under 1.5
41%
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
Over 3.5
13%
Under 3.5
87%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
65%
双方进球
是
40%
否
60%
关键因素
- Cruzeiro has to play without key contributors Matheus Pereira, Keny Arroyo, and Gerson, leaving them with only 76% of their usual attacking strength
- Corinthians is currently scoring more frequently, averaging 2.3 goals in recent games compared to their season average of 1.3 goals
- Cruzeiro's clear defensive weakness away from home, conceding an average of 2.12 goals per away match this season
风险因素
- A highly balanced historical head-to-head record with 2 draws in their last 5 encounters
- Low statistical likelihood for a high-scoring game, with the calculated Over 2.5 probability at just 30%
概述
Corinthians (9th place, 32 points) host Cruzeiro (6th place, 33 points)
Serie A match at the Arena Corinthians on August 16, 2026, 10:30 PM
A tight mid-table clash is expected
近期状态
Corinthians are unbeaten in 5 matches with a form of WWDDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recently secured a 2-0 away win against Bragantino
Cruzeiro show a form of DWLWW, most recently winning 3-1 against Mirassol
Both teams won 3 of their last 5 matches
统计数据
Corinthians score an average of 1.09 goals and concede 0.91 goals per game
Cruzeiro score an average of 1.36 goals and concede 1.41 goals per game
Cruzeiro have a vulnerable away defense, conceding 2.12 goals per away match
Corinthians are defensively solid at home, conceding only 0.73 goals on average
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1, Cruzeiro won 2, with 2 draws
The goal difference is 4:8 in favor of Cruzeiro
The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw on February 25, 2026
关键球员
Rodrigo Garro has 3 goals and 6 assists this season
Kaio César scored 2 goals in 10 appearances
Matheuzinho contributed 1 goal and 2 assists
For the visitors, Kaio Jorge is the biggest threat with 6 goals
Fagner has provided 4 assists so far
Jonathan Jesus impresses with an average rating of 7.11
门将
Hugo Souza has played 20 matches and kept 10 clean sheets
Otávio Costa played 9 matches with 5 clean sheets so far
影响因素
The match will be played on grass
The Arena Corinthians averages 2.4 goals per game this season
Corinthians benefit from home strength, conceding only 8 goals in 11 home matches