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Serie A

Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama

08/23/2026, 07:00 PM

4 : 1
预期进球
Palmeiras
1.2
Total xG
2.0
Vasco da Gama
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

15%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

2:0

10%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
PALVDG

Palmeiras

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.57
状态上升 (2.5 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.18
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第19位, 相差18位)
+0.09
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.03
Jhon Arias替补席 (4球, 2助攻)
Ramón Sosa未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)
Joaquín Piquerez未进大名单 (0球, 4助攻)
Murilo替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Vasco da Gama

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.49
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.27
状态下滑 (0.2 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.26
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第1位, 相差18位)
-0.14
José Luis Rodríguez替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Cauan Barros替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

33%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

67%

双方进球

41%

59%

关键因素
  • Offensive trend: Palmeiras averaged more goals recently with 2.5 compared to their season average of 1.9
  • Shooting accuracy: Palmeiras averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • Model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a 44% home win probability
风险因素
  • Away defense issues: Vasco da Gama concede 1.7 goals per away game on average
  • Last encounter: Vasco da Gama won the most recent direct duel 2-1
  • Missing offensive power: Jhon Arias (4 goals, 2 assists) and Ramón Sosa (4 goals, 2 assists) are not in Palmeiras' lineup
概述

Palmeiras host Vasco da Gama at the Allianz Parque

Serie A match on August 23, 2026, 8:00 PM

Clash between the league leaders and the second-to-last team

First-placed Palmeiras with 48 points meet nineteenth-placed Vasco da Gama with 22 points

近期状态

Palmeiras form: WLWDL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

Vasco da Gama form: LLDDL (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)

Palmeiras currently scores more frequently with 2.5 goals compared to their season average of 1.9

Vasco da Gama's goal production is stalling at 0.25 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.1

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Palmeiras average 1.74 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded

Vasco da Gama average 1.05 goals scored and 1.55 goals conceded

Palmeiras are solid at home with 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game

Vasco da Gama struggle away with 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 goals conceded per game

历史交锋

5 head-to-head matches in the database

Palmeiras with 4 wins and Vasco da Gama with 1 win, with 0 draws

Goal ratio of 8 to 3 in favor of Palmeiras

Vasco da Gama won the last match 2-1 on March 12, 2026

关键球员

Andreas Pereira shines in midfield with 1 goal and 10 assists, averaging a 7.27 rating

José Manuel López has recorded 6 goals and 4 assists in attack, with a 7.07 rating

Mauricio shows strong form with 5 goals and 1 assist, averaging a 6.93 rating

Andrés Gómez has recorded 4 goals and 2 assists in attack, with a 6.93 rating

Cuiabano stabilizes the defense with 2 goals and 3 assists, averaging a 7.24 rating

Thiago Mendes contributes 3 goals and 1 assist in midfield, with a 7.20 rating

门将

Carlos Miguel plays in goal for Palmeiras with a 7.01 rating and 9 clean sheets

Léo Jardim guards the net for Vasco da Gama with a 6.68 rating and 2 clean sheets

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass

The historical stadium record at Allianz Parque averages 1.6 goals per game

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