Serie A
Santos - Mirassol
08/23/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.6
1.0
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
6%2:2
5%xG 分解
Santos
Mirassol
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
29%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Offensive efficiency: Santos recently averaged 5.4 shots on target and currently scores more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.5)
- Home strength meets away weakness: Mirassol concedes an average of 2.12 goals per away game and has not kept a single clean sheet on the road
- Mathematical tendency: The model calculates a 46% probability for a home win and 75% for the double chance (home win or draw)
风险因素
- Historical disadvantage: Santos has failed to win any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Mirassol
- Severe away weakness: Mirassol concedes an average of 2.12 goals per game on the road
- Defensive instability for Santos: The home team concedes an average of 1.59 goals per match and rarely keeps a clean sheet
概述
Santos (14th place, 25 points) hosts Mirassol (17th place, 23 points) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Relegation battle in Serie A on August 23, 2026, 10:30 PM
Crucial match for survival between table neighbors
近期状态
Santos with form curve WLDLW in all competitions
Most recently a 3-0 win against Vasco da Gama
Mirassol with form curve WDWLL and currently on a two-game losing streak
Santos recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 games
Mirassol also achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Santos scores an average of 1.45 goals and concedes 1.59 goals per game
Both teams scored in 15 of 22 Santos matches, with 14 games over 2.5 goals
Mirassol averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.59 goals conceded
Mirassol has a vulnerable away defense with an average of 2.12 goals conceded and 0 clean sheets
历史交锋
3 head-to-head matches in the database
Mirassol leads historically with 1 win to 0 wins for Santos, alongside 2 draws
Goal ratio stands at 3:6 in favor of Mirassol
The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw on March 11, 2026
关键球员
Gabriel Barbosa scored 8 goals this season and 4 times in the last 5 matches
Neymar contributed 6 goals and 2 assists in 10 appearances so far
Reinaldo recorded 1 goal and 4 assists in 19 appearances
门将
Gabriel Brazão has 20 season appearances and kept 5 clean sheets
Walter also played 20 matches and achieved 1 clean sheet
影响因素
Home advantage for Santos at Estádio Urbano Caldeira on natural grass
The venue averages a high 3.4 goals per match
Over 1.5 (100%), Over 2.5 (60%), and BTTS (60%) occurred frequently in recent home games