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Serie A

Botafogo - Athletico PR

08/24/2026, 11:00 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Botafogo
1.0
Total xG
2.1
Athletico PR
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

11%

1:0

10%

1:2

7%
xG 分解
BOTAP

Botafogo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.55
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.26
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.20
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第3位, 相差8位)
-0.09
Danilo替补席 (7球, 2助攻)
Arthur Cabral未进大名单 (7球, 1助攻)
Matheus Martins替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
Lucas Villalba替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
55%进球产出缺失 (仅64%可用)

Athletico PR

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第11位, 相差8位)
+0.04
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.5球)
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

33%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

67%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Form Trend: Athletico PR shows a positive trend, currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.5)
  • Tactical Approach: Botafogo recently averaged 5.4 shots on target per match despite their scoring struggles
  • Balanced Predictions: The mathematical model estimates a very close matchup with a 36% away win probability and 31% for a home win
风险因素
  • Danilo, Arthur Cabral, Matheus Martins, Lucas Villalba are missing, leaving only 64% of the seasonal goal threat available
  • Botafogo's goal production has stalled recently, averaging 1.0 goals per match compared to their 1.7 season average
  • Athletico PR show vulnerability on the road, conceding an average of 1.62 goals per away match
概述

Botafogo face Athletico PR at Estádio Nilton Santos

Serie A match on August 24, 2026, 11:00 PM

Botafogo sit in 11th place with 30 points

Athletico PR occupy 3rd place with 41 points

The visitors aim to secure their spot near the top of the table

近期状态

Botafogo show a form sequence of WDWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Their last match ended in a loss against Vitória

Athletico PR are unbeaten in 5 games with a form of WWDWD

Their last game was a draw against Bragantino

统计数据

Botafogo score an average of 1.59 goals and concede 1.55

At home, Botafogo score 1.64 goals per game on average

Athletico PR score 1.35 goals and concede 0.87 on average

The visitors concede an average of 1.62 goals in away games

历史交锋

There have been 3 head-to-head matches

The last encounter ended 1:4 with an away win

The overall record is even with 1 win for each team and 1 draw

关键球员

Alex Telles is in rising form with a 7.24 rating over the last matches

Álvaro Montoro has contributed 3 assists this season

Kevin Viveros leads the visitors with 14 goals this season

门将

Gabriel Batista starts in goal for the hosts

Santos is in goal for the visitors with a 7.09 average rating

Athletico PR have achieved 8 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Estádio Nilton Santos

Matches at this venue average 2.4 goals

Both teams scored in 80% of the games played here

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