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Serie A

Bragantino - Grêmio

08/23/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Bragantino
1.6
Total xG
2.2
Grêmio
0.6
最可能的比分

1:0

16%

2:0

14%

0:0

13%

1:1

12%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
BRAGRÊ

Bragantino

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.37
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.09
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第15位, 相差7位)
+0.05
Fernando 未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)

Grêmio

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.54倍)
-0.79
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.08
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.08
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第8位, 相差7位)
-0.05
Carlos Vinícius替补席 (10球, 1助攻)
Cristian Pavón替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Juan Nardoni未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
Gustavo Martins未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
56%进球产出缺失 (仅50%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

60%

平局

28%

客胜

13%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

87%

客胜或平局

40%

非平局

72%

双方进球

38%

62%

关键因素
  • Only 50% of the usual starting lineup strength available for Grêmio, with Carlos Vinícius, Cristian Pavón, Juan Nardoni, and Gustavo Martins missing
  • Bragantino averaged 14 shots total and 3.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 60%
风险因素
  • Grêmio concedes an average of 2.83 goals in away matches
  • Bragantino has recorded only one victory in their last five matches
概述

Bragantino hosts Grêmio

Serie A match on August 23, 2026, 8:00 PM

Bragantino is in 8th place with 32 points

Grêmio is in 15th place with 25 points

The home team is the favorite

近期状态

Bragantino form: WDDLD

Grêmio form: LLDWL

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Bragantino has 1 win and 3 draws in the last 5 matches

Grêmio recorded 1 win and 3 losses recently

统计数据

Bragantino scores 1.23 goals and concedes 1.05 goals on average

Home record: 1.23 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded on average

Grêmio scores 1.09 goals and concedes 1.36 goals on average

Away from home, Grêmio concedes an average of 2.83 goals

历史交锋

5 head-to-head matches recorded

2 wins for Bragantino and 3 draws

No wins for Grêmio

The last match ended in a 1:1 draw

关键球员

Juninho Capixaba with 3 goals and 2 assists this season

Lucas Barbosa has scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists

Rodriguinho with 2 goals and a rising form trend

Marlon has 1 goal and 1 assist with strong recent form

Wallace has 1 goal in 2 appearances

Erick Noriega scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in 16 matches

门将

Tiago Volpi played 15 matches in goal and scored 2 goals

Weverton has 20 appearances and 1 assist this season

Bragantino achieved 7 clean sheets this season

Grêmio managed 5 clean sheets so far

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid

Bragantino benefits at home from conceding only 0.85 goals per game on average

Grêmio shows a clear defensive weakness in away games

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