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Serie A

Cruzeiro - Flamengo

08/22/2026, 11:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Cruzeiro
1.1
Total xG
2.4
Flamengo
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

0:1

10%

1:0

8%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
CRUFLA

Cruzeiro

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.02
Bruno Rodrigues替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Flamengo

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.27
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.51倍)
+0.20
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.18
状态上升 (2.6 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.18
Léo Pereira未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Jorginho替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

31%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

69%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Flamengo averaged 6.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Flamengo is currently scoring more frequently (2.6) than their season average (2.0)
  • Not nominated for the match are Bruno Rodrigues for the hosts, as well as Léo Pereira and Jorginho for the visitors
风险因素
  • Suspension of regular defender J. de Jesus Alves (15 season appearances, 7.11 rating)
  • Limited data availability for duel stats in recent matches
概述

Cruzeiro (5th place, 36 points) host Flamengo (2nd place, 45 points) at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Serie A match on August 22, 2026, 11:30 PM

A top-tier clash with tight mathematical predictions

近期状态

Cruzeiro is in strong form with 4 wins and 1 loss from their last 5 matches (WLWWW)

Their last result was a 2-1 away win against Corinthians

Flamengo remains unbeaten in their last 5 games with 3 wins and 2 draws (WDDWW)

Both teams show a positive recent trend in advanced stats

Form codes: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Cruzeiro scores an average of 1.39 goals and concedes 1.39 goals per game

At home, their defense is more stable, conceding only 1.0 goal per match

Flamengo shows extreme offensive strength, averaging 2.0 goals per game

Away from home, Flamengo is even more dangerous with an average of 2.08 goals scored

The visitors concede only 0.86 goals per match this season on average

历史交锋

5 head-to-head matches in recent years

Flamengo dominates the historical record with 3 wins, while Cruzeiro won 1 match

One match ended in a draw, with a goal difference of 3-6 against Cruzeiro

The last meeting on March 12, 2026, ended in a 2-0 victory for Flamengo

关键球员

Matheus Pereira is a key midfielder with 5 goals and 2 assists

Kaio Jorge has already scored 6 goals this season

Fagner shines defensively with 4 assists this season

Pedro leads the attack with 14 goals and 4 assists

Samuel Lino has contributed 6 goals and 7 assists

Jorge Carrascal is in strong form with 1 goal and 3 assists in recent matches

门将

Otávio Costa guards the net for Cruzeiro, playing in 10 matches this season

Cruzeiro has kept 5 clean sheets so far this season

Agustín Rossi is the first-choice goalkeeper for Flamengo with 22 appearances

Flamengo has kept 9 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

The venue averages 2.8 goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 historical matches at this stadium

Cruzeiro records more stable defensive stats at home, conceding only 1.0 goal per game

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