Serie A
Chapecoense - São Paulo
08/23/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.1
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
12%0:1
11%2:1
7%xG 分解
Chapecoense
São Paulo
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
34%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
63%
Under 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
85%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
66%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Balanced outlook: The model predicts almost equal win probabilities for both sides with 34% home win vs 32% away win
- Tactical approach: São Paulo dominant in possession with an average of 59%, while Chapecoense played counter-oriented with 41% possession recently
- Historical advantage: São Paulo won the only head-to-head encounter this season comfortably 2-0
风险因素
- Defensive vulnerability: Chapecoense concede an average of 2.09 goals per match this season
- Weak away defense: São Paulo concede an average of 1.89 goals in away games
- Lack of efficiency: Both teams have failed to secure a single win in their last 5 competitive matches
概述
Chapecoense host São Paulo at the Arena Condá
Serie A match on August 23, 2026, 9:30 PM
Chapecoense sit in 20th place with 11 points
São Paulo are in 13th place with 27 points
A crucial clash in the lower half of the Serie A table
近期状态
Both teams share an identical form of LLDLD
Chapecoense recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses recently
São Paulo also registered 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Both sides come off a draw in their last match
统计数据
Chapecoense score an average of 1.05 goals and concede 2.09 goals per match
At home, Chapecoense concede an average of 1.8 goals
São Paulo score an average of 1.23 goals and concede 1.18 goals per match
Away from home, São Paulo concede an average of 1.89 goals
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match in the dataset
São Paulo won the last meeting 2-0 on March 12, 2026
Chapecoense are still looking for their first point against this opponent
关键球员
Marcinho has scored 3 goals this season for his team
Giovanni Augusto leads the midfield with 1 goal and 3 assists
Jonathan Calleri is the top scorer for the visitors with 7 goals
Luciano has contributed 6 goals and 2 assists
门将
Anderson played 8 games in goal for Chapecoense keeping 1 clean sheet
Rafael started 22 matches for São Paulo recording 4 clean sheets
Both goalkeepers aim to bring stability to their defenses
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Arena Condá
The Arena Condá has averaged 4.6 total goals per match in recent games
More than 1.5 goals were scored in 5 out of 5 matches at this venue