Serie A
Vitória - Bahia
08/23/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.6
1.3
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Vitória
Bahia
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
30%
客胜
37%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
63%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Home defense vs Away attack: Vitória's extremely strong home defense (0.44 goals conceded) faces Bahia's stable attack averaging 1.67 goals recently
- Tactical styles: Vitória has recently been counter-oriented with 44.4% average possession, while Bahia averaged 53.8% possession
- Mathematical balance: The model predicts an extremely tight match with a slight edge for Bahia at 37% away win compared to 34% home win
风险因素
- Vitória's offensive slump with only 0.25 goals per game recently compared to their season average of 1.10
- Bahia's heavy trend towards draws with 5 consecutive draw results
- Away defensive vulnerability for Bahia, conceding an average of 1.55 goals per away game
概述
Vitória host Bahia at the Estádio Manoel Barradas
Serie A match on August 23, 2026, 9:00 PM
Vitória in 12th place with 29 points against Bahia in 6th place with 34 points
A significant mid-table clash
近期状态
Vitória form: DLLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Vitória recently won 1-0 at home against Botafogo
Bahia with five consecutive draws with the form DDDDD
Bahia's last match ended in a 3-3 away draw against Chapecoense
统计数据
Vitória averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.43 goals conceded per game
At home, Vitória is strong defensively, conceding just 0.44 goals per game with 8 clean sheets in 16 home matches
Bahia scores 1.39 goals and concedes 1.22 goals on average
Away from home, Bahia concedes an average of 1.55 goals per game
历史交锋
5 head-to-head matches overall
Bahia with 2 wins, Vitória with 1 win and 2 draws
The last direct duel ended 1-1 on March 11, 2026
Bahia is recently dominant with 2 wins in the last 5 encounters
关键球员
Erick (Attacker, 2 goals, 4 assists, rating 7.03)
Renê (Attacker, 5 goals, 1 assist, rating 6.96)
Matheuzinho (Midfielder, 3 goals, 1 assist, rating 6.87)
Luciano Juba (Defender, 7 goals, 1 assist, rating 7.10)
David Duarte (Defender, 3 goals, 1 assist, rating 7.05)
Rodrigo Nestor (Midfielder, 1 goal, 2 assists, rating 7.04)
门将
Lucas Arcanjo with a season average rating of 7.02 in 19 matches
Ronaldo with a season average rating of 7.10 in 14 matches
Vitória with 9 clean sheets this season, Bahia with 7 clean sheets
影响因素
The match is played on grass at the Estádio Manoel Barradas
The venue averages 2.6 goals per game in recent history
Vitória's home defensive strength with only 7 goals conceded in 16 home matches is a key factor