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Serie A

Coritiba - Corinthians

08/23/2026, 10:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Coritiba
1.0
Total xG
2.1
Corinthians
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

12%

0:1

11%

2:1

7%
xG 分解
CORCOR

Coritiba

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.14
防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.08
Tinga未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

Corinthians

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-0.14
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.13
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.03
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.02
Rodrigo Garro未进大名单 (3球, 6助攻)
Matheuzinho未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Matheus Bidu未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
30%进球产出缺失 (仅50%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

34%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

66%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Weakened visitors: Only 50% of the goal threat available, without Rodrigo Garro, Matheuzinho, Matheus Bidu
  • Form curves comparison: Corinthians averaged more goals recently (1.8) than Coritiba (1.0)
  • High-scoring history: Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira averaged 3.4 goals per game in recent matches
风险因素
  • Low offensive pressure: Coritiba averaged only 3.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Completely open outcome: The mathematical model calculates nearly equal probabilities for a home win (34%), draw (34%), and away win (32%)
  • Limited data availability for weather conditions
概述

Coritiba host Corinthians at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

Serie A match on August 23, 2026, 11:30 PM

Mid-table duel between 9th and 10th place

Only one point separates both teams in the standings

近期状态

Coritiba shows mixed form (LDLWD) with a negative trend

Only 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last matches

Coritiba's goal production has stalled at 1.0 goals recently compared to a 1.3 season average

Corinthians (WDDWL) with a positive trend of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

The visitors are scoring more frequently (1.8 average) than their season average of 1.3

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Coritiba scores an average of 1.22 goals and concedes 1.30 goals per game this season

In home games, their average stands at 1.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded

Corinthians scores 1.09 goals on average and concedes 0.96 goals per match

Away from home, the visitors have an even average of 1.09 goals scored and conceded

Both teams have had 11 matches this season in which both teams scored

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams

The last encounter ended in a 2:0 win for the home team

This match took place on March 12, 2026

There has been no draw in this matchup so far

关键球员

Breno Lopes leads the home team's attack with 8 goals and 2 assists

Josué contributes 1 goal and 9 assists in midfield with an average rating of 7.08

Pedro Rocha has scored 5 goals so far this season

For the visitors, Kaio César impresses with an average rating of 7.08 in 11 appearances

Breno Bidon has 2 goals and 1 assist in midfield from 21 matches

Gustavo Henrique strengthens the defense and holds an average rating of 7.00

门将

Pedro Morisco has played 7 matches in goal for Coritiba this season, holding an average rating of 7.16

Coritiba managed to keep a clean sheet 6 times overall this season

Kauê has guarded the goal 2 times for Corinthians so far, achieving a rating of 7.26

The visitors have already recorded 10 clean sheets during this campaign

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

In the 5 home games played there, there has been a high-scoring average of 3.4 goals per game

Additionally, 80% of these home matches ended with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals

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