🇧🇷

Serie A

Athletico PR - Fluminense

08/30/2026, 02:00 PM

3 : 3
预期进球
Athletico PR
1.2
Total xG
2.1
Fluminense
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

13%

2:0

9%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
APFLU

Athletico PR

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.48
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.14
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.01
全员可用

Fluminense

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.48
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.13
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.05
Hércules未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅93%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.6球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

33%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

67%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Solid home defense: Athletico PR concede just 0.5 goals on average at home, whereas Fluminense suffer an average of 1.67 goals away
  • In-form attackers: Athletico PR score more frequently (2.0) than their season average, and Fluminense also improved to an average of 1.8 goals recently
  • Tactical control: Fluminense averaged a dominant 60% possession and a strong 6.4 shots on target in their past matches
风险因素
  • Head-to-head record: Athletico PR remained winless in the last 3 direct matches against Fluminense, suffering 2 defeats
  • Restricted data on defensive duel statistics in the past 5 matches for both teams
概述

Athletico PR host Fluminense at the Arena de Baixada

Serie A clash on August 30, 2026, 4:00 PM

Athletico PR currently sit in 3rd place with 44 points

Fluminense occupy 4th place with 41 points

A crucial matchup in the upper region of the table

近期状态

Athletico PR show a form of WDWDW

The hosts recorded 3 wins and 2 draws in their recent outings

Fluminense present a form of DDDWW

The visitors secured 2 wins and 3 draws recently

Both sides remain undefeated in their past five matches

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Athletico PR score an average of 1.42 goals per match

At home, the hosts concede an average of only 0.5 goals

Fluminense score an average of 1.5 goals per match this season

The visitors concede an average of 1.67 goals per away game

Both teams scored in 18 of Fluminense's 24 league matches

历史交锋

There have been 3 direct encounters recorded

Fluminense dominate the head-to-head with 2 wins

One match ended in a draw

Athletico PR have yet to win a duel against this opponent

The most recent meeting finished in a 2-3 victory for Fluminense

关键球员

Kevin Viveros leads the line with 16 goals and 3 assists in 23 matches

João Cruz contributes with 1 goal and 4 assists

Stiven Mendoza has recorded 5 goals this season

Hulk scored 3 goals in just 6 appearances for the away side

Agustín Canobbio registers 4 goals and 3 assists so far

Ignácio contributed 2 goals and 1 assist from defence

门将

Santos has guarded the goal for Athletico PR in 23 matches

The hosts have recorded 8 clean sheets this season

Fábio is the goalkeeper for Fluminense with 24 appearances

The visitors have kept 4 clean sheets so far

影响因素

Home advantage plays a key role for Athletico PR at the Arena de Baixada

The hosts concede only 0.5 goals per game on home soil

Matches at this venue average 1.4 goals per game

The BTTS rate at this stadium stands at 40%

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。