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Serie A

Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro

08/30/2026, 12:20 AM

3 : 1
预期进球
Vasco da Gama
1.4
Total xG
2.8
Cruzeiro
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
VDGCRU

Vasco da Gama

排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第5位, 相差14位)
-0.22
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.21
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.18
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.26倍)
+0.17
Cuiabano替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
26%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.9球 vs 总体1.1球)

Cruzeiro

排名优势 (第5位 vs 第19位, 相差14位)
+0.10
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04
Matheus Pereira替补席 (6球, 2助攻)
Kaio Jorge 替补席 (6球, 0助攻)
Keny Arroyo未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
Fagner替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
Lucas Romero替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Bruno Rodrigues未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Lucas Villalba替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
60%进球产出缺失 (仅32%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

28%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

72%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Only 33% of the goal threat available for Cruzeiro, without Matheus Pereira, Kaio Jorge, Keny Arroyo, Fagner, Lucas Romero, Bruno Rodrigues and Lucas Villalba
  • Cruzeiro averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Vasco da Gama's 3.4
  • Significant gap in form: Cruzeiro won four of their last five matches (LWWWW) while Vasco da Gama remains winless in five games (LDDLL)
风险因素
  • Cuiabano is missing, with only 69% of the goal threat available for Vasco da Gama
  • Cruzeiro concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
  • Vasco da Gama's goal scoring has stalled with an average of only 0.5 goals in recent matches compared to the season average of 1.1
概述

Vasco da Gama hosts Cruzeiro at Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Serie A clash on August 30, 2026, 2:20 AM

Vasco da Gama in 19th place battles relegation while 5th-placed Cruzeiro targets the top spots

近期状态

Vasco da Gama is in a slump and winless in five matches with LDDLL form

Cruzeiro is in great shape with four wins in their last five games showing LWWWW form

Vasco da Gama recently suffered a 1-4 defeat to Palmeiras while Cruzeiro won 2-1 against Flamengo

统计数据

Vasco da Gama averages 1.04 goals scored and 1.65 goals conceded per match

Cruzeiro is more dangerous offensively with an average of 1.42 goals scored per game

Vasco da Gama concedes 1.42 goals at home on average while Cruzeiro concedes 2.0 goals per away match

历史交锋

Balanced history over the last five head-to-head encounters

Both teams recorded one victory each alongside three draws

The last direct meeting ended in a high-scoring 3-3 draw on March 15, 2026

关键球员

For Vasco da Gama Andrés Gómez with four goals and Facundo Colidio with one goal lead the attack

Thiago Mendes pulls the strings in midfield with three goals this season

For the visitors Néiser Villarreal is a key threat with three goals scored this season

门将

Léo Jardim guards the goal for Vasco da Gama with a seasonal rating of 6.64

His counterpart Otávio Costa starts for Cruzeiro with the same rating of 6.64

Vasco da Gama has only kept one clean sheet at home while Cruzeiro managed two away clean sheets

影响因素

Home advantage for Vasco da Gama on grass at Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

The venue averages 2.0 goals per game with a very low BTTS rate of 20%

The mathematical model expects a close game with a slight edge for Cruzeiro at a 38% away win probability

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