Serie A
Atlético Mineiro - Vitória
08/29/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.2
0.8
1:1
14%1:0
14%0:0
13%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Atlético Mineiro
Vitória
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
31%
客胜
21%
进球数
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
79%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Massive squad depletion for Atlético Mineiro: Only 47% of active goal threat is available with key players like Bernard, Victor Hugo, Renan Lodi, Mateo Cassierra, Ruan, and Maycon missing
- Extreme personnel shortage for Vitória: Just 30% of their regular starting strength is available, with key contributors like Erick, Renê, Matheuzinho, and Ramon out of the lineup
- Form disparity: Atlético Mineiro remains unbeaten in their last 5 matches (DWDWD) while Vitória is in crisis with 4 losses in 5 games (LLLWL)
风险因素
- Vitória concedes a catastrophic average of 3.71 goals per away match this season
- Vitória averaged only 3.2 shots on target per game over their last 5 matches
- Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
概述
Atlético Mineiro hosts Vitória in Serie A
Match on August 29, 2026, 6:30 PM at the Arena MRV
Atlético Mineiro is in 9th place with 33 points, while Vitória occupies 12th place with 29 points
A mid-table clash with both teams looking to climb
近期状态
Atlético Mineiro shows stable form (DWDWD, W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches with 2 wins and 3 draws
Vitória is struggling with 4 losses in their last 5 games (LLLWL)
The current trend heavily favors the undefeated hosts
统计数据
Atlético Mineiro scores an average of 1.3 goals per game and concedes 1.17
Vitória averages 0.96 goals scored and 1.46 goals conceded per match
Vitória's defense is extremely vulnerable on the road, conceding an average of 3.71 goals per away game
Atlético Mineiro maintains a solid home scoring average of 1.31 goals per game
历史交锋
5 head-to-head matches in the database
Vitória dominates the history with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 wins for Atlético Mineiro
Goal difference stands at 11-6 in favor of Vitória
The last encounter ended in a 2-0 win for Vitória on March 14, 2026
关键球员
Alan Minda recorded 2 goals and 2 assists
Reinier scored twice with a rating of 6.87
Angelo Preciado contributed 1 assist
Diego Tarzia got 2 goals and 2 assists
Caíque Gonçalves averages a 6.79 rating
Luan Cândido registered 2 assists
门将
Gabriel Delfim starts in goal for Atlético Mineiro and has kept 0 clean sheets this season
Lucas Arcanjo guards Vitória's goal and boasts an impressive 9 clean sheets in 20 appearances
Statistically, Arcanjo displays a solid season performance with an average rating of 7.04
影响因素
Home advantage favors Atlético Mineiro, conceding only 1.0 goals per game at the Arena MRV
In the 5 home matches played at this stadium, games averaged 3.0 total goals
Both teams scored in 60% of those matches
The game will be played on natural grass