Serie A
Grêmio - Chapecoense
08/30/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.4
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
10%2:1
9%2:0
9%xG 分解
Grêmio
Chapecoense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
30%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Only 52% of the goal threat available, without Carlos Vinícius, Francis Amuzu, Erick Noriega, Tetê, Juan Nardoni
- Grêmio averaged 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
- Chapecoense's heavy away vulnerability with 2.71 conceded goals per game on average
风险因素
- Chapecoense are scoring more frequently recently (1.4) compared to their season average (1.1)
- Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
概述
Grêmio host Chapecoense at the Arena do Grêmio
Serie A match on August 30, 2026, 11:30 PM
Grêmio sit in 15th place with 25 points
Chapecoense are bottom of the table in 20th place with 14 points
The model predicts 1.43 expected goals for Grêmio and 1.01 for Chapecoense
近期状态
Grêmio's current form is LDWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The hosts have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses recently
Chapecoense show a form of LDLDW
The visitors achieved 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games
统计数据
Grêmio score an average of 1.06 goals and concede 0.76 goals at home
Chapecoense concede an average of 2.71 goals per away game
The hosts have conceded only 13 goals in 17 home matches
Chapecoense are still waiting for their first clean sheet on the road
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between the teams
Their last meeting on March 16, 2026 ended in a 1:1 draw
The overall head-to-head record is completely even
关键球员
Cristian Pavón scored 1 goal and provided 3 assists so far this season
Wallace has already scored 1 goal in 3 appearances with a 7.34 average rating
Giovanni Augusto is crucial for Chapecoense with 1 goal and 4 assists this season
门将
Weverton guards the goal for Grêmio with a season rating of 6.91
Anderson plays in goal for Chapecoense with an average rating of 7.03
Grêmio have kept 5 clean sheets this season compared to 2 for Chapecoense
影响因素
The Arena do Grêmio averages 3.0 total goals per match
Both teams scored in 80% of the matches played at this venue
Grêmio's home advantage is backed by a very solid home defense