Serie A
Flamengo - Botafogo
08/30/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.6
0.8
2:0
13%1:1
12%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
6%xG 分解
Flamengo
Botafogo
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
61%
平局
25%
客胜
14%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
86%
客胜或平局
39%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- Mathematical advantage: The model predicts a 61% home win probability with 1.81 expected goals for Flamengo
- Tactical dominance: Flamengo controlled recent matches with 59.8% average possession and averaged 5.6 shots on target per game
- Offensive gap: While Flamengo remains stable with a recent average of 2.0 goals per game, Botafogo's goal production has stalled at just 1.0 goals per game
风险因素
- Away weakness: Botafogo concedes an average of 1.82 goals per game in away matches
- Absences: Flamengo is without suspended forward B. Pinto as well as the unnominated Jorge Carrascal and Guillermo Varela
概述
Flamengo host Botafogo at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Serie A match on August 30, 2026, 9:00 PM
Flamengo sits in 2nd place with 45 points, chasing the top position
Botafogo travels as the 12th-placed team with 30 points
近期状态
Flamengo's recent form is DDWWL
Their last match ended in a loss against Cruzeiro
Botafogo's form stands at DWDLL
They have suffered two consecutive losses recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Flamengo averages 1.96 goals scored and 0.91 goals conceded per match this season
At home, their average is 1.9 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded
Botafogo averages 1.61 goals scored and 1.61 goals conceded per match
In away games, Botafogo concedes an average of 1.82 goals
历史交锋
There have been 5 head-to-head matches
Both teams have won 2 games with 1 draw
The goal difference is 7 to 6 in favor of Flamengo
The last meeting ended in a 3:0 victory
关键球员
Pedro leads Flamengo's attack with 15 goals and 4 assists
Samuel Lino has contributed 6 goals and 7 assists this season
Giorgian de Arrascaeta has recorded 3 goals and 3 assists
For Botafogo, Danilo stands out with 7 goals and 2 assists
Arthur Cabral has scored 7 goals and provided 1 assist
Alex Telles contributed 3 goals and 4 assists
Not nominated: Jorge Carrascal (3 goals, 4 assists) and Guillermo Varela (0 goals, 3 assists) for Flamengo, Matheus Martins (4 goals, 0 assists) for Botafogo
门将
Agustín Rossi played 23 matches and recorded 9 clean sheets
Gabriel Batista has only 1 appearance for Botafogo with a 6.2 average rating
影响因素
The match will be played on grass at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
The venue averaged 2.4 goals per match in recent games