Serie A
Bahia - Internacional
08/30/2026, 10:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
14%2:0
10%0:1
9%xG 分解
Bahia
Internacional
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
32%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Form trend: Bahia is recently scoring more (2.0) than their season average (1.6), while Internacional averaged just 0.7 goals
- Home vs Away mismatch: Bahia concedes only 0.92 goals at home, whereas Internacional concedes 1.50 goals on the road
- Model confidence: The mathematical model predicts a 44% home win probability and a 77% chance for a Home or Draw outcome
风险因素
- Squad impact for visitors: Johan Carbonero (6 goals, 3 assists) is missing, leaving only 75% of the regular starting lineup strength available
- Defensive suspensions: Yellow card suspensions for G. Mercado and B. Gomes da Silva Clevelário weaken Internacional's vulnerable defense
- Low-scoring tendency: Venue statistics indicate a low average of 1.8 goals per match, and the model predicts Over 2.5 at only 36%
概述
Bahia host Internacional in Serie A
Match on August 30, 2026, 10:30 PM at Arena Fonte Nova
6th-placed Bahia face 17th-placed Internacional
Bahia fight for top positions while Internacional seek to escape the relegation zone
近期状态
Bahia show stable form with the string DDDDW
They recorded 1 win and 4 draws in their last five matches
Internacional are winless in their last five games with the string LDDDD
The visitors concluded their recent matches with 4 consecutive draws
统计数据
Bahia score an average of 1.42 goals and concede 1.17 goals per match
Internacional average 1.00 scored and 1.17 conceded goals per game
On the road Internacional concede an average of 1.50 goals per game
Bahia have kept 8 clean sheets so far this season
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches Bahia won 2 times and Internacional won once
There were 2 draws between the sides
The last direct meeting ended in a 1-0 win for Bahia
关键球员
Luciano Juba shines for Bahia with 7 goals and a season rating of 7.16
David Duarte supports the hosts with 3 goals and a rating of 7.10
Alexandro Bernabei leads Internacional with 4 goals and a rating of 7.17
Alan Patrick added 3 goals from midfield for the visitors
Not nominated: Jean Lucas (3 goals, 3 assists) and Ademir (1 goal, 1 assist) for Bahia
Not nominated: Johan Carbonero (6 goals, 3 assists) for Internacional
门将
Ronaldo guards Bahia's goal with a rating of 7.11 and contributed to 8 clean sheets
Matheus Cunha plays for Internacional with a rating of 6.96 and 6 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match is played at Arena Fonte Nova on grass
Bahia's home advantage is backed by conceding only 0.92 goals per home match
Venue statistics show an average of 1.8 goals per match at this stadium