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Serie A

São Paulo - Bragantino

08/29/2026, 11:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
São Paulo
1.4
Total xG
2.7
Bragantino
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
SPBRA

São Paulo

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.11
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第7位, 相差6位)
-0.09
Jonathan Calleri 替补席 (7球, 1助攻)
Wendell替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
38%进球产出缺失 (仅63%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.2球)

Bragantino

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.16
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第13位, 相差6位)
+0.04
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

29%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

71%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Defensive home strength: São Paulo concedes an average of only 0.64 goals per match in front of their own fans
  • Tactical possession: São Paulo recently dominated with 62.2% average possession compared to Bragantino's 48.2%
  • Form trend: Bragantino comes in with confidence after their recent 1-0 win, while São Paulo remains winless in 5 matches
风险因素
  • Jonathan Calleri and Wendell are missing, leaving only 64% of the usual attacking threat available
  • Struggling attack: Both teams averaged only 0.8 goals per match in recent games
  • São Paulo's poor form: The hosts earned only two points from their last 5 matches
概述

São Paulo host Bragantino at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Serie A match on August 29, 2026, 11:00 PM

Clash between the 13th-placed home side with 27 points and 7th-placed Bragantino with 35 points

The hosts aim to close the gap to the upper half of the table

近期状态

São Paulo struggle with form showing LDLDL (L = Loss, D = Draw)

Most recent match ended in a 0-1 defeat against Chapecoense

Bragantino show a more stable trend with DDLDW (W = Win)

The visitors won their last match 1-0 against Grêmio

统计数据

São Paulo average 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded this season

Their home record highlights a solid defense with only 0.64 goals conceded per game

Bragantino average 1.22 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per match

The visitors have conceded an average of 1.33 goals in away fixtures

历史交锋

Balanced record in the last 5 head-to-head matches

Two wins for São Paulo, one win for Bragantino, and two draws

The last meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for São Paulo on March 15, 2026

The goal difference stands at 7-5 in favor of São Paulo

关键球员

Luciano has scored 6 goals and provided 2 assists in 19 matches (7.05 rating)

Marcos Antônio impresses with rising form and a rating of 7.43 over his last 5 matches

Artur has contributed 2 goals this season with a 7.00 rating

Isidro Pitta has registered 5 goals and 2 assists in 21 appearances

Lucas Barbosa has added 4 goals so far with a 7.10 rating

Juninho Capixaba has already scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists from defense

门将

Rafael played 23 games and kept 4 clean sheets so far

Tiago Volpi has featured in 16 matches and registered 8 clean sheets

影响因素

The Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo features a natural grass surface

The last 5 home games averaged 3.2 goals

Both teams scored in all 5 matches (100% BTTS rate)

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