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Serie A

Corinthians - Santos

08/30/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Corinthians
1.1
Total xG
2.0
Santos
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

1:0

13%

0:1

10%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
CORSAN

Corinthians

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.7倍)
-0.51
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.29
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.09
Breno Bidon未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)

Santos

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.03
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.5球)
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

34%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

66%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Tactical advantage: Santos averaged 6.0 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Defensive home edge: Corinthians concede an average of only 0.83 goals per game at home
  • Statistical outlook: The model calculates a 72% probability for the double chance home win or draw
风险因素
  • Away defensive weakness: Santos concede an average of 1.90 goals per away game
  • Lack of scoring threat: Corinthians have scored only 26 goals in 24 matches this season
概述

Corinthians host Santos at the Arena Corinthians

Serie A match on August 30, 2026, 8:00 PM

Mid-table clash between 10th and 14th place

近期状态

Corinthians with the form DDWLL in recent matches

The home side recently recorded one draw and two losses

Santos show the form LDLWD with a draw in their last game

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Corinthians score an average of 1.08 goals per home game

The home defense is stable, conceding 0.83 goals per home match

Santos concede an average of 1.90 goals in away games

The away side score an average of 1.50 goals on the road

历史交锋

3 head-to-head matches in recent years

Even record with one win for each team and one draw

The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on March 15, 2026

关键球员

Rodrigo Garro excels in midfield with 3 goals and 6 assists

Matheuzinho shows a rising form trend with an average rating of 6.98

Neymar shines with 6 goals and 3 assists in 11 appearances

门将

Hugo Souza is in goal for Corinthians with an average rating of 6.73

Gabriel Brazão guards the Santos net with an average rating of 6.71

Corinthians have kept 10 clean sheets this season, while Santos recorded 5 clean sheets

影响因素

Home advantage is supported by the solid Arena Corinthians, where the hosts concede only 0.83 goals per game

The stadium features a natural grass playing surface

Venue statistics indicate an average of 2.0 total goals per game

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