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Serie A

Mirassol - Palmeiras

08/30/2026, 09:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Mirassol
0.9
Total xG
2.2
Palmeiras
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

0:1

13%

0:2

9%

1:0

8%
xG 分解
MIRPAL

Mirassol

排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第1位, 相差17位)
-0.16
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.02
Edson Carioca 未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)

Palmeiras

状态上升 (2.8 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.23
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.22
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第18位, 相差17位)
+0.09
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.06
Allan未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
Jhon Arias未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
Joaquín Piquerez未进大名单 (0球, 4助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

25%

平局

32%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

75%

非平局

68%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Tactical dominance: Palmeiras recently controlled matches with an average of 59.2% possession
  • League standing gap: The league leaders travel as clear favorites against 18th-placed Mirassol
  • Offensive form: Palmeiras are currently scoring more frequently (2.8) than their season average
风险因素
  • Home ground warning: Mirassol won the last direct duel in their own stadium 2-1
  • Limited attacking threat: Mirassol averaged only 3.8 shots on target in recent matches
概述

Mirassol (18th place, 24 points) host Palmeiras (1st place, 51 points) at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Serie A match on August 30, 2026, 11:30 PM

A clash between the relegation-threatened home side and the league leaders

近期状态

Mirassol's current form is DWLLD with one win from their last five matches

Palmeiras travel with a form of LWDLW after winning their last game 4-1 against Vasco da Gama

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Palmeiras average 1.83 goals scored per match this season

Mirassol have conceded 36 goals in 23 league matches so far

The visitors have allowed only 20 goals against them this season

历史交锋

An even historical record with one win for each side and one draw

The last head-to-head match on March 15, 2026, ended in a 1-0 away win for Palmeiras

The goal difference remains balanced at 3-3 after three matches

关键球员

Igor Formiga solidifies Mirassol's defense and has already scored four goals this season

Defender João Victor stands out with two goals and an average rating of 6.95

Reinaldo has recorded one goal and four assists for the home side

Andreas Pereira shines for Palmeiras with eleven assists and a 7.27 rating

Forward José Manuel López has already scored eight goals with a 7.15 rating

Mauricio poses a major goal threat in midfield with six goals this season

门将

Walter played 21 matches for Mirassol, averaging a 6.79 rating

Carlos Miguel starts for Palmeiras, having recorded nine clean sheets this season

Both goalkeepers are in the starting lineups

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Stadium statistics show an average of 3.0 goals per match and an 80% BTTS rate

Palmeiras remain solid on the road, conceding only 0.85 goals per away game

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