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Serie A

Botafogo - Palmeiras

09/06/2026, 09:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Botafogo
1.0
Total xG
2.1
Palmeiras
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

12%

1:0

11%

0:2

7%
xG 分解
BOTPAL

Botafogo

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.24
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.24
防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.24
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第1位, 相差11位)
-0.12
Alex Telles 未进大名单 (3球, 4助攻)
16%进球产出缺失 (仅82%可用)

Palmeiras

状态上升 (2.8 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.24
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.23
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.07
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第12位, 相差11位)
+0.06
Allan未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
Jhon Arias替补席 (4球, 3助攻)
Vitor Roque替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
Murilo替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅91%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

34%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

66%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Form gap: Palmeiras scores more frequently recently (2.8) compared to Botafogo (0.8)
  • Squad blow: Botafogo has to play without Alex Telles, who was involved in 7 goals
  • Offensive efforts: Botafogo averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
  • Squad depth: Palmeiras is missing four players in Allan, Jhon Arias, Vitor Roque, and Murilo
  • Defensive vulnerability: Botafogo concedes an average of 1.67 goals per match
概述

Botafogo (12th place, 30 points) host league leaders Palmeiras (1st place, 52 points) at Estádio Nilton Santos

Serie A match on September 6, 2026, 9:30 PM

The visitors enter the match as favorites

近期状态

Botafogo is in poor form with WDLLL

They suffered three consecutive defeats recently

Palmeiras remains more stable with WDLWD

统计数据

Botafogo averages 1.54 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded

The hosts' goalscoring has slowed down recently to 0.8 goals

Palmeiras averages 1.85 goals scored and 0.92 goals conceded away

历史交锋

Even historical record with 2 wins each in 5 head-to-head matches

The last encounter ended in a 2-1 win for Palmeiras

关键球员

Danilo leads the home midfield with 7 goals this season

Arthur Cabral has also scored 7 goals for Botafogo

Andreas Pereira shines for the visitors with 11 assists

门将

Gabriel Batista has made only 2 appearances for Botafogo this season

Carlos Miguel guards the Palmeiras goal and has already recorded 9 clean sheets

影响因素

An average of 2.8 goals are scored per match at Estádio Nilton Santos

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 home matches

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