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Serie A

Remo - Flamengo

09/06/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Remo
0.9
Total xG
2.4
Flamengo
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

12%

0:0

11%

0:2

10%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
REMFLA

Remo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.66
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第2位, 相差17位)
-0.16
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.04
Jajá替补席 (7球, 1助攻)
27%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)

Flamengo

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.32倍)
+0.33
防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.30
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.18
状态上升 (2.6 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.18
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第19位, 相差17位)
+0.10
Guillermo Varela替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Erick Pulgar替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

21%

平局

29%

客胜

49%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

51%

客胜或平局

79%

非平局

71%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Form and standings gap: Second-placed Flamengo (WWLWW) visits second-to-last Remo (LDDLL) as clear favorites
  • Absence of Jajá: Remo must play without their threatening forward (7 goals, 1 assist), weakening their attacking threat
  • Offensive dominance: Flamengo averages 2.0 goals per game this season and features top scorer Pedro with 15 goals
风险因素
  • Flamengo with only 4 days of rest since their last match
  • Remo averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match in recent games
概述

Remo (19th place, 23 points) host Flamengo (2nd place, 51 points)

Serie A match on September 6, 2026, 7:00 PM at the Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença

A highly unequal matchup between relegation battle and championship race

近期状态

Flamengo is in excellent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches (Form: WWLWW)

Remo is winless in 5 matches, securing only 2 points (Form: LDDLL)

The momentum clearly favors the visitors from Rio

统计数据

Flamengo scores an average of 2.0 goals per game and has a strong defense conceding 0.84 goals

Remo averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.68 goals conceded per game

The away team has kept 11 clean sheets so far this season

历史交锋

There has been only one head-to-head match between these teams

Flamengo won that previous encounter convincingly 3-0 in March 2026

关键球员

Pedro leads the attack with 15 league goals and 5 assists

Jorge Carrascal is in rising form with 3 goals and 5 assists in his last 5 appearances

Gabriel Taliari remains a key offensive figure with 4 goals this season

Not nominated: Jajá (7G/1A), Guillermo Varela (0G/3A), Erick Pulgar (2G/0A)

门将

Agustín Rossi has kept 11 clean sheets for Flamengo this season

Marcelo Rangel has recorded 3 clean sheets for Remo with a 7.01 season average rating

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença

Historically, matches at this venue average 3.0 goals per game

The mathematical model calculates a 21% probability for a home win and 49% for an away win

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