Serie A
Bragantino - Bahia
09/05/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.4
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
10%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Bragantino
Bahia
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
30%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Opposing form trends: Bahia is scoring more frequently recently with 2.7 goals per game compared to 1.6 season average, whereas Bragantino's goal production has stalled at 0.8
- Historical dominance: Bahia won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Bragantino, including the last clash which ended 2-0
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis favors Bragantino with a 46% win probability despite their form dip, predicting 1.44 expected home goals
风险因素
- Offensive inefficiency of Bragantino: The team recently averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match
- Vulnerable away defense: Bahia concedes an average of 1.55 goals per away match this season
- Key absences for Bragantino: Isidro Pitta with 5 goals and 2 assists is missing from the starting lineup
概述
Bragantino hosts Bahia in Serie A
The match takes place at Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques on September 5, 2026, 9:00 PM
Bahia is in 5th place with 40 points, while Bragantino is in 9th place with 35 points
A competitive clash in the upper mid-table
近期状态
Bragantino's form is DLDWL with 1 win and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
Their last result was a defeat against São Paulo
Bahia has a positive trend of DDDWW and remains unbeaten recently
Bahia won their last two matches against Internacional and Vitória
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Bragantino has scored 29 goals and conceded 25 so far this season
At home, their defense is solid, conceding an average of only 0.79 goals per game
Bahia scores an average of 1.48 goals per game but concedes 1.55 on average in away matches
Bahia's matches are often high-scoring with 16 games where both teams scored
历史交锋
There have been 5 head-to-head matches between these two teams
Bahia dominates the historical record with 4 wins compared to 1 win for Bragantino
No draws have been recorded in these encounters
The last direct duel ended in a 2-0 victory for Bahia on March 18, 2026
关键球员
Lucas Barbosa is a key attacker for Bragantino with 4 goals this season and a 7.08 rating
Defender Juninho Capixaba has contributed 3 goals so far and holds a 7.14 rating
Fernando has shown rising form with 2 goals in his last 4 matches
Luciano Juba is Bahia's high-scoring defender with 7 goals this season
Erick Pulga is in great form with 2 goals and 1 assist in Bahia's last 5 games
Alejo Veliz has already scored 2 goals in only 6 appearances for the visitors
门将
Tiago Volpi has played 17 times for Bragantino this season, scoring 2 goals
Bragantino has recorded 8 clean sheets so far this campaign
Ronaldo has made 16 appearances in goal for Bahia with a solid 7.07 rating
Bahia also has 8 clean sheets to their name this season
影响因素
The game is played on natural grass at Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques
Stadium statistics show an average of 1.8 goals per game in recent matches at this venue
Only 1 out of 5 matches saw both teams score at this stadium
Bragantino benefits from their home ground, scoring an average of 1.21 goals at home