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Serie A

Coritiba - Mirassol

09/06/2026, 02:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Coritiba
1.4
Total xG
2.3
Mirassol
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
CORMIR

Coritiba

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.16
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.07
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第16位, 相差9位)
+0.06
Josué替补席 (1球, 9助攻)
Tiago Cóser未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
Tinga未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

Mirassol

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.20
排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第7位, 相差9位)
-0.09
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.08
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.08
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

30%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

70%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Home and form advantage: Coritiba recently won two games in a row, while Mirassol is winless in five matches
  • Offensive trend: Coritiba currently scores more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.4 goals)
  • Away weakness: Mirassol concedes an average of 2.22 goals per away match and has recorded zero clean sheets on the road
风险因素
  • Low shot accuracy: Coritiba recently averaged only 3.0 shots on target per game
  • Historical setback: In the only head-to-head match so far, Coritiba suffered a defeat against Mirassol
  • Missing regular players: With Josué, Tiago Cóser, and Tinga, the hosts are missing three players in the squad
概述

Coritiba (7th place, 37 points) host Mirassol (16th place, 25 points)

Serie A match on September 6, 2026, 4:00 PM

The hosts enter this duel as favorites against the relegation-threatened opponent

近期状态

Coritiba is in strong shape with form trend LWDWW and two consecutive wins

Mirassol has been winless for five games with form LLDDL

Form summary numbers: Coritiba has 3 wins and 1 draw, Mirassol has 0 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Coritiba averages 1.32 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded per game

Mirassol has a season average of 1.08 goals and concedes 1.56 goals per game

In away games, Mirassol concedes an average of 2.22 goals with 0 clean sheets

In 13 out of 25 games of the hosts, there were over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match so far

Mirassol leads the record with 1 win

The last duel on March 18, 2026, ended in a 1:0 victory for Mirassol

关键球员

Breno Lopes is the hosts' top scorer with 8 goals this season

Pedro Rocha scored 7 goals this season, including 3 goals in his last five matches

Eduardo scored 4 times for the visitors this season, including 2 goals in his last four games

门将

Pedro Morisco has played 9 times in goal for Coritiba this season and kept 2 clean sheets

Alex Muralha has played 1 match for Mirassol this season

Coritiba has 6 clean sheets, while Mirassol kept only 1 clean sheet

影响因素

The match will be played at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira on grass

The stadium statistics show an average of 3.2 goals per game

Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 home matches

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