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Serie A

Cruzeiro - Athletico PR

09/06/2026, 07:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Cruzeiro
1.3
Total xG
2.2
Athletico PR
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

13%

2:0

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
CRUAP

Cruzeiro

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.10
Lucas Villalba替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)

Athletico PR

状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.19
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.06
Gastón Benavídez未进大名单 (1球, 5助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.6球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

32%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

68%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Recent form: Cruzeiro won four of their last five matches, while Athletico PR remains unbeaten in five games
  • Offensive threat: Athletico PR's Kevin Viveros is the most dangerous player on the pitch with 17 season goals
  • Home strength vs. away weakness: Cruzeiro concedes only 1.0 goals per game at home, whereas Athletico PR concedes 1.67 on the road
风险因素
  • Missing playmaker: Athletico PR is without the suspended Gastón Benavídez, losing 26% of their seasonal assists
  • Defensive risk for the visitors: Athletico PR concedes 1.67 goals on the road compared to their overall average of 1.09
  • Tactical balance: Cruzeiro recently averaged 5.0 shots on target with balanced possession
概述

Cruzeiro hosts Athletico PR at the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Serie A match on September 6, 2026, 7:00 PM

6th-placed Cruzeiro with 39 points challenges 3rd-placed Athletico PR with 45 points

An important clash in the upper tier of the Brazilian league

近期状态

Cruzeiro shows a form curve of WWWWL with 4 wins and 1 loss recently

Their winning streak was snapped by a defeat in their last match

Athletico PR is undefeated in their last 5 matches with a form of DWDWD

The visitors recently recorded a draw after two wins and three draws overall

统计数据

Cruzeiro scores an average of 1.4 goals per game while conceding 1.44

At home, their defense is more stable, conceding only 1.0 goals per game

Athletico PR scores 1.48 goals per match and concedes an average of 1.0

On the road, the visitors concede an average of 1.67 goals while scoring 1.56

历史交锋

There have been 3 direct encounters between these teams

Athletico PR has won 2 matches, while Cruzeiro won 1 game

The last meeting on March 18, 2026, ended in a 2-1 win for Athletico PR

None of the matches ended in a draw, with a goal difference of 5-3 in favor of Athletico PR

关键球员

Matheus Pereira is Cruzeiro's top midfielder with 6 goals and 3 assists this season

Kaio Jorge also shines for Cruzeiro with 6 league goals so far

Kevin Viveros is the standout player for Athletico PR with an impressive 17 goals and 3 assists

门将

Otávio Costa is in goal for Cruzeiro with a season average rating of 6.70

Athletico PR relies on Mycael, who played one game with a rating of 7.05

Cruzeiro kept 5 clean sheets this season, while Athletico PR secured 8

影响因素

An average of 2.6 goals are scored per match at the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Both teams scored in 4 of Cruzeiro's last 5 home games (80% BTTS rate)

Cruzeiro benefits from a tighter home defense, conceding only 1.0 goals per game

The natural grass pitch provides optimal conditions for a controlled game

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