Serie A
Fluminense - Vasco da Gama
09/06/2026, 12:00 AM
预期进球
1.2
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
13%0:1
9%2:0
9%xG 分解
Fluminense
Vasco da Gama
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
33%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Form trend: Fluminense is currently scoring more frequently (2.3) than their season average (1.6)
- Defensive strength: Fluminense concedes an average of only 0.93 goals per home game
- Away weakness: Vasco da Gama concedes an average of 2.1 goals in away matches
风险因素
- Vasco da Gama concedes a high average of 2.1 goals per away match
- Cuiabano is not selected for Vasco da Gama (2 goals, 3 assists)
- Fluminense conceded an average of 1.75 goals over their recent matches
概述
Fluminense face Vasco da Gama at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Serie A matchday 26 encounter on September 6, 2026, 2:00 AM
4th-placed Fluminense (42 points) look to maintain their top-four spot
16th-placed Vasco da Gama (25 points) are fighting to pull away from the relegation zone
近期状态
Fluminense are unbeaten in their last 5 matches with 2 wins and 3 draws
Their last match ended in a high-scoring 3:3 draw against Athletico PR
W/D/L form of Fluminense: DDWWD
Vasco da Gama recently ended a winless run with a 3:1 home victory against Cruzeiro
W/D/L form of Vasco da Gama: DDLLW
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Fluminense average 1.56 goals scored and 1.28 goals conceded per game
At home, Fluminense are very stable, conceding only 0.93 goals per match
Vasco da Gama concede a high average of 2.1 goals per away match
Vasco da Gama scored 27 goals in 24 matches this season
历史交锋
Vasco da Gama won 3 of the last 5 direct encounters, while Fluminense won 2
The last duel on March 19, 2026, ended in a 3:2 away victory for Vasco da Gama
No draws were recorded in their last 5 matchups
关键球员
Hulk is in strong form with 3 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances for Fluminense
Agustín Canobbio contributed 5 goals and 3 assists in 18 appearances this season
Andrés Gómez is a key attacker for Vasco da Gama with 4 goals this season
Not selected: Cuiabano (2 goals, 3 assists)
门将
Fábio has played 25 games for Fluminense with an average rating of 6.89
Léo Jardim has played 24 games for Vasco da Gama with a 6.67 rating
Fluminense kept 4 clean sheets this season, while Vasco da Gama kept 2
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Venue history averages 3.0 goals per game from recent matches
The model predicts a 41% home win probability