Serie A
Chapecoense - Internacional
09/12/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.6
1.3
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Chapecoense
Internacional
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
30%
客胜
37%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
63%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Offensive improvement: Chapecoense currently score more frequently (1.6 goals per game) than their season average (1.1)
- Counter-attacking style: Both teams recently averaged under 43% possession in their last five games
- Weakened away defense: Internacional will miss two suspended defensive players in B. Aguirre and Matheus Bahia
风险因素
- Vulnerable home defense: Chapecoense concede an average of 2.00 goals per game this season
- Loss of attacking threat: Chapecoense's key player Giovanni Augusto (1 goal, 5 assists) is not nominated
- Away struggles: Internacional concede an average of 1.64 goals in away matches
概述
Chapecoense host Internacional in Serie A
Match on September 12, 2026, 8:00 PM at Arena Condá
Bottom-of-the-table clash between Chapecoense (20th place, 17 points) and Internacional (18th place, 25 points)
The model predicts a tight encounter with 1.24 expected home goals and 1.31 expected away goals
The mathematical probability for an away win is 37%, while a home win is at 33%
近期状态
Form Chapecoense: LDWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Chapecoense recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches
In their last match, the home side celebrated a 2-1 win against Corinthians
Form Internacional: DDDLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The visitors registered 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches
Their last match ended in a 2-3 defeat against Santos
统计数据
Chapecoense concede an average of 2.00 goals per game this season
At home, the host scored an average of 1.06 goals and conceded 1.69 goals
Internacional score an average of 1.09 goals and concede 1.64 goals in away matches
Both teams scored in 16 of Chapecoense's 25 matches this season
历史交锋
There is only 1 head-to-head match recorded
This match on March 22, 2026, was won by Chapecoense away with a score of 2-0
Internacional is still looking for their first point against this opponent
关键球员
Marcinho scored 5 goals in 24 season appearances and shows rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 games
Bruno Pacheco contributed 1 goal and 3 assists this season
Johan Carbonero is Internacional's top attacker with 6 goals and 3 assists
门将
Anderson played 11 matches for Chapecoense with an average rating of 7.02
Matheus Cunha made 6 appearances for Internacional with an average rating of 6.62
Internacional kept 6 clean sheets this season, while Chapecoense recorded 2
影响因素
The match will take place on natural grass at Arena Condá
Arena Condá matches averaged 3.8 total goals recently
80% of those matches ended with over 2.5 goals