Serie A
Palmeiras - São Paulo
09/12/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
13%2:0
9%0:1
9%xG 分解
Palmeiras
São Paulo
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
43%
平局
32%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
57%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Extreme squad depletion for São Paulo: only 38% of the seasonal goal threat is active, with top scorers Luciano (8 goals) and Jonathan Calleri (7 goals) missing from the lineup
- Palmeiras averaged 4.6 shots on target per game with 55.6% possession in recent matches
- Historical dominance for the home side with 4 wins out of the last 5 direct duels against São Paulo
风险因素
- São Paulo concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game this season
- A low-scoring match is likely: the prediction model calculates only a 36% probability for Over 2.5 goals
- Limited data availability on injured or suspended players for Palmeiras in the provided dataset
概述
Palmeiras (2nd place, 53 points) host local rivals São Paulo (10th place, 33 points) at the Allianz Parque
Serie A clash on September 12, 2026, 9:30 PM
The home side fights for crucial points in the title race
近期状态
Palmeiras has a form curve of DLWDD with two consecutive draws at the end
The home team recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches
São Paulo shows a form of LDLWW with two wins in a row
Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Palmeiras scores an average of 1.73 goals per game and concedes 0.81 goals
At home, Palmeiras concedes only 0.75 goals per game
São Paulo averages 1.24 goals scored per game but concedes 2.0 goals away from home
São Paulo's defense shows major struggles in away matches
历史交锋
Palmeiras dominates the head-to-head record with 4 wins in the last 5 matches
São Paulo failed to win any of those games, recording 1 draw
The last match on March 22, 2026, ended in a 1:0 victory for Palmeiras
关键球员
Andreas Pereira has contributed 11 assists in 25 appearances in midfield
José Manuel López stands out in attack with 8 goals and rising form
Jhon Arias supports the offense with 4 goals and 3 assists this season
门将
Carlos Miguel has played 25 games for Palmeiras, keeping 10 clean sheets
Carlos Coronel has no documented appearances for São Paulo this season
Palmeiras holds a statistical advantage in goal stability
影响因素
Palmeiras' home advantage is strong with only 9 goals conceded in 12 home matches
The venue history averages 2.2 goals per match
The match will be played on grass