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Serie A

Bahia - Remo

09/14/2026, 11:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Bahia
1.5
Total xG
2.2
Remo
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

15%

1:1

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

12%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
BAHREM

Bahia

状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.32
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.18
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.16
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第19位, 相差14位)
+0.10
Erick未进大名单 (4球, 0助攻)

Remo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.49
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第5位, 相差14位)
-0.12
Gabriel Taliari替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
Marcelinho未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Marllon 替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅73%可用)
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

29%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

71%

双方进球

41%

59%

关键因素
  • Form gap: Bahia is undefeated in 5 matches (DDWWW), while Remo remains winless in 5 games (DDLLL)
  • Depleted squad for Remo: The visitors must cope with major absences, leaving them with just 73% of their usual starting strength
  • Offensive surge: Bahia is currently scoring more frequently (2.8 goals recently) compared to their season average (1.7 goals)
风险因素
  • Remo's defensive vulnerability, conceding an average of 2.36 goals per away match
  • Tactical limitations for the visitors: Remo averaged only 3.2 shots on target in recent games
概述

Bahia (5th place, 43 points) host Remo (19th place, 23 points) at the Arena Fonte Nova

Serie A match on September 15, 2026, 1:00 AM

The home side aims to maintain their top positions while the visitors desperately need points to escape relegation

近期状态

Bahia comes into this fixture in strong shape with a DDWWW form trend

The hosts have won their last three consecutive matches

Remo has been struggling, remaining winless in five games with a DDLLL record

The visitors travel after suffering three consecutive defeats

统计数据

Bahia averages 1.54 goals scored and only 1.00 conceded in their home fixtures

Remo struggles heavily on the road, conceding an average of 2.36 goals per away game

The visitors have kept just one clean sheet away from home all season

Bahia scored in 17 of their 26 matches, while Remo failed to score in 9 fixtures

历史交锋

Only one head-to-head match is recorded in the current database

Bahia won that previous away encounter 4-1 on March 22, 2026

The brief history favors the home side on this occasion

关键球员

Alejo Veliz is in top form, scoring 3 goals in his last 5 appearances

Erick Pulga has also contributed 2 goals and 1 assist over the last 5 games

Rodrigo Nestor controls the midfield, boasting a highly impressive recent rating of 7.41

Jajá leads Remo with 7 goals this season, finding the net twice in recent matches

Yago Pikachu registered 3 goals and 1 assist during this campaign

Zé Ricardo holds the visitors' midfield together with a season rating of 6.78

门将

Ronaldo is the starting goalkeeper for Bahia, securing a solid season rating of 7.16

He has already recorded 8 clean sheets during this league campaign

Marcelo Rangel guards the goal for Remo with an average rating of 7.01

He has managed only 3 clean sheets so far this season

影响因素

The game will be played on natural grass at the Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia benefits from their strong home defense, conceding only 1.00 goals per game on average

Previous matches at this venue produced an average of 2.4 goals

Both teams scored in 60% of matches historically played at this stadium

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