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Serie A

Coritiba - Athletico PR

09/12/2026, 12:00 AM

3 : 3
预期进球
Coritiba
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Athletico PR
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

0:2

5%
xG 分解
CORAP

Coritiba

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.13
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.13
全员可用

Athletico PR

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.13
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.13
Leozinho替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.6球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

30%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

70%

双方进球

是

54%

否

47%

关键因素
  • Attacking threat: Athletico PR averaged 6.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • Dangerous striker: Kevin Viveros scored 5 goals in his last 5 games
  • Goal-scoring trend: Coritiba averaged 1.8 goals per match in recent games
风险因素
  • Away defensive struggles: Athletico PR concedes an average of 1.8 goals per away match
  • Low offensive volume: Coritiba averaged only 3.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Limited historical data with only one head-to-head match in the database
概述

Coritiba hosts Athletico PR

Serie A match on September 12, 2026, 2:00 AM

Seventh place meets third place in the standings

The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 41%

近期状态

Coritiba shows a form of WDWWL with 3 wins and 1 draw

Last match ended in defeat after three consecutive wins

Athletico PR enters with a WDWDL form

Coritiba currently scores more frequently at 1.8 goals than their season average of 1.4

Athletico PR is also scoring more frequently at 2.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.6

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Coritiba scores 1.31 goals and concedes 1.35 goals on average

Athletico PR averages 1.46 goals scored and 1.08 goals conceded

Coritiba's home matches average 2.8 total goals

The visitors concede an average of 1.8 goals per away game

历史交锋

Only one direct encounter is recorded in the dataset

Athletico PR won that away match 2-0

Due to sparse historical data current season performance takes priority

关键球员

Pedro Rocha

Breno Lopes

Kevin Viveros

Pedro Rocha with 8 goals this season and rising form

Breno Lopes has 8 goals and 2 assists

Kevin Viveros is the top attacker for the visitors with 17 season goals

Not nominated: Leozinho (4 goals, 0 assists)

门将

Pedro Morisco guards Coritiba's goal with a 6.98 average rating

Mycael stands in goal for the visitors with a 6.68 average rating

Coritiba has 6 clean sheets while Athletico PR has 8 clean sheets

影响因素

Home advantage for Coritiba at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

Both teams scored in 80% of recent home matches at this venue

The visitors show higher defensive vulnerability in away games than at home

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