Serie A
Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense
09/12/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
13%1:0
12%0:1
9%2:0
9%xG 分解
Atlético Mineiro
Fluminense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
33%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Tactical advantage: Fluminense averaged 5.8 shots on target in recent matches
- Form gap: Fluminense is unbeaten in their last 5 games while Atlético Mineiro lost their last game
- Offensive trend: Both teams currently score more frequently than their season average according to advancedStats
风险因素
- Away defense: Fluminense concedes 1.8 goals per away match on average
- Squad depth: Atlético Mineiro is missing key squad members like Alan Minda and Renan Lodi
- Low expected goals: The model predicts a close match with 1.22 to 0.93 expected goals
概述
Atlético Mineiro (8th place, 36 points) host Fluminense (4th place, 45 points) at the Arena MRV
Serie A match on September 12, 2026, 7:00 PM
Crucial clash for the top positions in the table
近期状态
Atlético Mineiro form: DWDWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recently suffered a 0-2 defeat against São Paulo
Fluminense is unbeaten in 5 matches with a form of DWWDW
The visitors won their last match 1-0 against Vasco da Gama
统计数据
Atlético Mineiro averages 1.28 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per match
Fluminense averages 1.54 goals scored and 1.23 conceded overall
Atlético Mineiro scores 1.27 goals per home match
Fluminense concedes an average of 1.80 goals in away games
历史交锋
5 head-to-head matches
Fluminense dominates the recent history with 3 wins to Atlético Mineiro's 1 win and 1 draw
The last match ended in a 1-0 win for Fluminense on March 21, 2026
关键球员
Tomás Cuello (4 goals, 1 assist, 7.04 rating) and Reinier (3 goals, 2 assists, 6.94 rating) lead the hosts
Bernard is also key with 2 goals and 3 assists
For Fluminense, Agustín Canobbio (5 goals, 3 assists, 7.04 rating) and Luciano Acosta (4 goals, 4 assists, 7.16 rating) stand out
Jefferson Savarino contributed 3 goals and 2 assists
门将
Gabriel Delfim has 2 appearances for the hosts with an average rating of 6.54
Fábio is the established number 1 for Fluminense with 26 appearances and a 6.91 rating
影响因素
Home advantage for Atlético Mineiro at the Arena MRV on grass
Matches at the Arena MRV have averaged 2.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of these matches