Serie A
Santos - Cruzeiro
09/13/2026, 12:00 AM
预期进球
1.6
2.6
1.0
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
5%xG 分解
Santos
Cruzeiro
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
28%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Critical squad impact: Santos must cope without Gabriel Barbosa, Neymar, Álvaro Barreal, and Christian Oliva, leaving only 33% of their usual goal threat active
- Tactical advantage: Cruzeiro averaged 5.4 shots on target per match in recent games
- Away defensive weakness: Cruzeiro concede an average of 2.1 goals per game in away matches
风险因素
- Defensive vulnerability for Cruzeiro with an average of 2.1 goals conceded per away match
- Santos concede an average of 1.52 goals per game over the season
概述
Santos (13th place, 32 points) host Cruzeiro (6th place, 42 points) in Serie A
Match on September 13, 2026, 1:00 AM at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Cruzeiro fight for top positions while Santos look to stabilize
近期状态
Santos show upward form of LWDWW with two consecutive wins lately
In the last five matches, they recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Cruzeiro arrive in strong form of WWWLW with 4 wins in their last five games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Santos score an average of 1.48 goals and concede 1.52 goals per game
At home, their average is 1.5 goals scored and 1.42 goals conceded
Cruzeiro average 1.46 goals scored per match
However, Cruzeiro concede an average of 2.1 goals in away games
The mathematical model estimates a home win probability of 48%
历史交锋
In the past 3 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2 and there was 1 draw
The goal difference is 5:1 in favor of Santos
The last encounter on March 22, 2026, ended in a 0:0 draw
关键球员
Benjamín Rollheiser stands out with a 6.92 average rating and 3 season goals
Willian Arão and Luan Peres show rising form trends with 1 season goal each
For the visitors, Matheus Pereira shines with a 7.50 rating alongside 7 goals and 4 assists
Kaio Jorge with 7 goals and Lucas Romero with 2 goals and 3 assists shape the attack
门将
Gabriel Brazão is in goal for Santos with a 6.73 rating and 6 clean sheets
For Cruzeiro, Otávio Costa guards the net with a 6.76 rating and 5 clean sheets
影响因素
The match will be played on grass at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Stadium stats show an average of 2.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 home games
Santos average 1.5 goals scored and 1.42 conceded at home