Serie A
Botafogo - Bragantino
09/12/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Botafogo
Bragantino
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
43%
平局
29%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
57%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Historical dominance: Botafogo won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches
- Model advantage: Mathematical analysis gives Botafogo a 73% probability for the double chance (home win or draw)
- Attacking intent: Botafogo averaged 5.2 shots on target per match in recent games
风险因素
- Offensive dip: Botafogo's recent goal production dropped to 0.8 goals per match compared to their season average of 1.6
- Squad blow: Botafogo is without top scorer Arthur Cabral in the starting lineup
- Form crisis: Botafogo failed to win any of their last 5 matches (DLLLD)
概述
Botafogo (14th place, 31 points) host Bragantino (9th place, 35 points) at Estádio Nilton Santos
Serie A match on September 12, 2026, 11:30 PM
Both teams aim to climb higher in the league standings
近期状态
Botafogo in poor form: DLLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
No wins in their last 5 matches with 2 draws and 3 losses
Bragantino also shows a negative form trend of LDWLL
The visitors recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 games
统计数据
Botafogo scores an average of 1.48 goals and concedes 1.60 per match this season
At home, their conceded goals average drops to 1.21 per game
Bragantino scores an average of 1.20 goals and concedes 1.40 in away matches
The visitors display a more stable defense with 28 goals conceded in 25 games overall
历史交锋
5 head-to-head matches in recent years
Botafogo dominated with 4 wins, while Bragantino won only once
The overall goal difference stands at 9:4 in favor of the hosts
The last matchup ended in a 2:1 victory for Botafogo
关键球员
Danilo has scored 7 goals in midfield this season with a 7.19 rating
Defender Alex Telles contributes 3 goals and 4 assists
Nahuel Ferraresi stabilizes the defense with a rating of 6.97
For the visitors, Lucas Barbosa stands out with 5 goals and a 7.11 rating
Isidro Pitta contributes 5 goals and 2 assists in attack
Juninho Capixaba impresses in defense with 3 goals and 2 assists
门将
Gabriel Batista played 3 matches for Botafogo with a 6.87 rating
Tiago Volpi was in goal for 18 games for Bragantino
The visitors have kept 8 clean sheets so far this season
影响因素
The match will be played on grass at Estádio Nilton Santos
The stadium averages 2.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 60% of the recent matches there