Serie A
Flamengo - Corinthians
09/13/2026, 08:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
1.9
0.6
1:0
17%0:0
16%1:1
13%2:0
12%2:1
8%xG 分解
Flamengo
Corinthians
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
32%
客胜
17%
进球数
Over 1.5
59%
Under 1.5
41%
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
Over 3.5
13%
Under 3.5
87%
双重机会
主胜或平局
83%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
36%
否
64%
关键因素
- Critical squad impact for Corinthians: only 24% of the usual starting line-up goal threat is active with key players like Rodrigo Garro and Matheus Bidu missing
- Clear difference in form with Flamengo winning four of their last five matches while Corinthians suffered four consecutive defeats recently
- Flamengo's offensive home strength averaging 2.0 goals per game meets Corinthians' weak away form
风险因素
- Low goal expectations based on the model showing only a 30% probability for over 2.5 goals in this match
- The last head-to-head encounter ended in a 1-1 draw
概述
Second-placed Flamengo host thirteenth-placed Corinthians at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Serie A match on September 13, 2026, 5:30 PM
Flamengo with 54 points fight for the top spot while Corinthians with 32 points sit in the midfield
The home team enters as clear favorites
近期状态
Flamengo show strong form with the form string WLWWW
The hosts recently celebrated three consecutive wins and won four of their last five games
Corinthians are in a crisis with the form string WLLLL
The visitors suffered four consecutive defeats recently and managed only one win in their last five matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Flamengo average 1.96 goals scored and only 0.81 goals conceded per game this season
On home turf their average rises to 2.0 goals scored with only 0.67 goals conceded per match
Corinthians record an average of 1.04 goals scored and 1.04 goals conceded per game this season
Away from home the visitors average 1.00 goal scored and 1.08 goals conceded
The hosts' offensive stats are significantly stronger
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head matches Flamengo celebrated three wins while Corinthians won once
The goal difference stands at 10-4 in favor of the home team
The last meeting on March 22, 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw
Flamengo dominate the recent historical record in this matchup
关键球员
Pedro has registered 15 goals and 5 assists with a rating of 7.29 this season
Samuel Lino shines with 9 goals and 7 assists with an average rating of 7.32
Giorgian de Arrascaeta contributed 3 goals and 4 assists this term
On the visitors' side Raniele has scored 2 goals with an average rating of 6.96
Tchoca has 1 goal in just 4 appearances with a rating of 7.22
Dieguinho completes the lineup with 1 goal in 14 matches
门将
Agustín Rossi in Flamengo's goal played 26 league matches and kept 12 clean sheets
Hugo Souza was in goal 22 times for Corinthians and recorded 10 clean sheets
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Historical venue statistics show an average of 2.8 goals per game
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of the matches at this venue
Both teams scored in 40% of the past encounters here