Serie A
Mirassol - Vitória
09/13/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.0
0.9
0:0
15%1:1
15%1:0
14%0:1
10%2:0
9%xG 分解
Mirassol
Vitória
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
34%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
61%
Under 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
14%
Under 3.5
86%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
66%
双方进球
是
41%
否
59%
关键因素
- Vitória's away weakness with an average of 3.50 goals conceded per away game
- Mirassol's attacking threat remains 95% active despite the absence of João Victor and Denilson
- Vitória recently averaged only 3.2 shots on target per match
风险因素
- Mirassol's defensive instability with 1.54 goals conceded per game on average
- Limited data availability for weather conditions
概述
Mirassol host Vitória at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Serie A match on September 13, 2026, 9:00 PM
Mirassol is in 16th place with 28 points fighting relegation
Vitória travels as the 12th-placed team with 32 points
The model predicts a tight match with a 40% home win probability
近期状态
Mirassol shows the form LDDLW with one win in their last five matches
Their most recent match was a 2-1 away victory against Coritiba
Vitória is on a form of LWLLW with two wins and three losses
They recently secured a 1-0 home victory against Grêmio
统计数据
Mirassol averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.54 goals conceded per game
At home Mirassol concedes an average of 1.27 goals
Vitória averages 0.96 goals scored and 1.42 goals conceded this season
Away from home Vitória's defense is highly vulnerable conceding 3.50 goals on average
历史交锋
There have been 3 head-to-head matches between these teams
Vitória won 2 matches with one draw while Mirassol remains winless
The goal difference is 4-1 in favor of Vitória
The last meeting on March 22, 2026 ended in a 1-0 win for Vitória
关键球员
Igor Formiga has 4 goals and 4 assists with an average rating of 7.03
Reinaldo contributes 1 goal and 4 assists with a rating of 6.92
Renê is Vitória's top scorer with 6 goals this season
Not nominated are João Victor and Denilson for Mirassol and Matheuzinho for Vitória
门将
Alex Muralha has played twice in goal with an average rating of 6.85
Lucas Arcanjo has made 22 appearances keeping 10 clean sheets with a rating of 7.10
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
The venue averages 3.0 goals per game with an over 2.5 rate of 0.6