Serie A
Vitória - Cruzeiro
09/20/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.6
1.3
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Vitória
Cruzeiro
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
30%
客胜
37%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
63%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Tactical offensive trend: Cruzeiro scored more goals recently (averaged 1.8 goals) compared to their season average of 1.5
- Historical dominance: Cruzeiro won three of the last five direct meetings, while Vitória failed to secure any victory
- Balanced probabilities: The mathematical model suggests a tight encounter with a 37% win chance for Cruzeiro and 33% for Vitória
风险因素
- Away vulnerability: Cruzeiro concedes a high average of 2.30 goals per match on the road
- Not nominated: Lucas Romero is missing from Cruzeiro's midfield (2 goals and 3 assists this season)
- Home defensive strength: Vitória concedes an extremely low average of 0.53 goals per game on home soil
概述
Vitória (13th place, 33 points) host Cruzeiro (6th place, 42 points)
Serie A match at Estádio Manoel Barradas on September 20, 2026, 7:00 PM
Mathematical models suggest an evenly balanced matchup with a slight advantage for the visitors
近期状态
Vitória shows a stable trend with recent form of WLLWD
Cruzeiro displays a positive form trend with WWLWL
The hosts achieved two wins and one draw in their last five matches
The visitors secured three wins over the same period
统计数据
Vitória scores 1.00 goal and concedes 1.44 goals per game on average this season
At home their defense is solid, conceding only 0.53 goals per match
Cruzeiro averages 1.44 goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded per game
The visitors concede an average of 2.30 goals per away match
历史交锋
Cruzeiro dominated the last five direct meetings with three wins and two draws
Vitória failed to secure a single victory during this period
The last head-to-head match ended in a clear 3-0 win for Cruzeiro
The overall goal difference in these meetings stands at 11:4 in favor of Cruzeiro
关键球员
Renê leads the home attack with 8 goals
Erick contributed 3 goals and 5 assists in 25 appearances
Matheuzinho has scored 3 goals so far this season
Matheus Pereira is the key playmaker for the visitors with 8 goals and 4 assists
Kaio Jorge has already scored 7 goals in 20 matches
Keny Arroyo has recorded 3 goals and 2 assists
门将
Lucas Arcanjo guards Vitória's goal, carrying a season rating of 7.10
Otávio Costa is between the posts for Cruzeiro, averaging 6.84
The home team has kept 10 clean sheets this season
The visiting side secured 5 clean sheets during the campaign
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at Estádio Manoel Barradas
The stadium history average stands at 1.8 goals per match
In Vitória's last five home matches, both teams never scored simultaneously
Vitória draws strength mainly from their compact home record with only 9 goals conceded in 17 matches